Country Profile - Gabon      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Gabon
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gabon -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.490
     2030: 2.799
     2060: 4.374
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 2.025
     2030: 1.895
     2060: 0.990
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 26.01
     2030: 24.85
     2060: 16.96
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 6.328
     2030: 6.267
     2060: 7.319
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 22.45
     2030: 21.44
     2060: 14.89
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 68.62
     2030: 69.65
     2060: 74.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 65.44
     2030: 66.35
     2060: 70.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 71.91
     2030: 73.05
     2060: 78.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 3.386
     2030: 3.225
     2060: 2.252
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 2.267
     2030: 1.965
     2060: 0.550
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.310
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.370
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.892
     2030: 0.941
     2060: 1.123
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.497
     2030: 1.733
     2060: 2.829
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.101
     2030: 0.125
     2060: 0.422
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 2.237
     2030: 2.516
     2060: 3.946
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.298
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.304
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 40.57
     2030: 42.07
     2060: 46.65

Health Forecast for Gabon -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 18.77
     2030: 19.97
     2060: 26.41
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 11.25
     2030: 11.47
     2060: 13.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 5.150
     2030: 4.722
     2060: 2.926
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 3.323
     2030: 0.837
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 19.84
     2030: 16.51
     2060: 6.560

Education Forecast for Gabon -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.2
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 101.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 94.94
     2030: 95.52
     2060: 99.20
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 86.03
     2030: 90.16
     2060: 97.98
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 54.88
     2030: 65.20
     2060: 86.26
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 30.44
     2030: 32.34
     2060: 38.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 8.300
     2030: 8.527
     2060: 9.819
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 85.78
     2030: 87.07
     2060: 99.71

Social/Human Forecast for Gabon
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.047
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.162
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.055
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.802
     2030: 0.813
     2060: 0.896
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 10.73
     2030: 9.783
     2060: 3.327
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,531
     2030: 2,624
     2060: 3,053
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.207
     2030: 0.210
     2060: 0.015
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.479
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.452

Economy Forecast for Gabon
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 34.18
     2030: 38.72
     2060: 78.62
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 16.89
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 49.62
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 13.73
     2030: 13.84
     2060: 17.97
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.381
     2030: 0.382
     2060: 0.371
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 49.18
     2030: 43.88
     2060: 31.79
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.08
     2030: 18.81
     2060: 26.79

Energy Forecast for Gabon
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.067
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.138

Environment Forecast for Gabon
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Gabon
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.076
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.086

Domestic Government Forecast for Gabon
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 4.024
     2030: 4.067
     2060: 4.355
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 13.25
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 14.93
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.098
     2030: 3.218
     2060: 4.323
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.566
     2030: 1.658
     2060: 2.222
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 5.790
     2030: 5.793
     2060: 5.877