Country Profile - Canada      IFs Version 8.28
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Canada
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Canada -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 38.98
     2030: 40.48
     2060: 45.08
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.649
     2030: 0.585
     2060: 0.247
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.996
     2030: 9.033
     2060: 8.519
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.364
     2030: 9.215
     2060: 11.46
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.659
     2030: 3.149
     2060: 1.578
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 82.71
     2030: 83.31
     2060: 86.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 80.61
     2030: 81.16
     2060: 83.76
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 84.78
     2030: 85.42
     2060: 88.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.361
     2030: 1.433
     2060: 1.523
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.177
     2030: 0.159
     2060: 0.052
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.813
     2030: 1.853
     2060: 1.952
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 5.972
     2030: 5.888
     2060: 6.167
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 25.16
     2030: 25.29
     2060: 26.69
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 7.847
     2030: 9.298
     2060: 12.22
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 32.58
     2030: 34.74
     2060: 39.99
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.533
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.501
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.05
     2030: 48.96
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Canada -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 34.43
     2030: 35.19
     2060: 36.35
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 15.28
     2030: 14.68
     2060: 14.64
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.953
     2030: 1.916
     2060: 1.847
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.035
     2030: 2.175
     2060: 2.771
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.037

Education Forecast for Canada -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 100.4
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 104.7
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 112.9
     2030: 109.9
     2060: 102.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 70.61
     2030: 71.16
     2060: 71.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.83
     2030: 12.98
     2060: 13.49
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Canada
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.076
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.156
     2030: 0.160
     2060: 0.026
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.999
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.226
     2030: 1.181
     2060: 0.903
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,668
     2030: 3,710
     2060: 3,773
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.100
     2030: 1.113
     2060: 1.122
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.529
     2030: 1.548
     2060: 1.617

Economy Forecast for Canada
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,925
     2030: 2,118
     2060: 3,197
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,833
     2030: 2,023
     2060: 3,100
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 49.39
     2030: 52.34
     2060: 70.92
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.324
     2030: 0.326
     2060: 0.327
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 50.80
     2030: 46.16
     2060: 38.34
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 64.21
     2030: 64.13
     2060: 64.31

Energy Forecast for Canada
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 1.389
     2030: 1.626
     2060: 2.013

Environment Forecast for Canada
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.157
     2030: 0.159
     2060: 0.144

International Politics Forecast for Canada
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 1.366
     2030: 1.271
     2060: 0.993

Domestic Government Forecast for Canada
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 8.249
     2030: 8.721
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 4.141
     2030: 4.166
     2060: 4.294
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.099
     2030: 8.122
     2060: 8.244