Country Profile - Canada      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Canada
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Canada -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 38.64
     2030: 40.71
     2060: 46.73
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 0.797
     2030: 0.669
     2060: 0.375
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 10.16
     2030: 9.650
     2060: 9.598
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 8.285
     2030: 9.037
     2060: 11.27
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 4.045
     2030: 3.422
     2060: 1.715
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 82.30
     2030: 82.98
     2060: 85.76
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 80.24
     2030: 80.86
     2060: 83.50
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 84.33
     2030: 85.07
     2060: 87.94
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.509
     2030: 1.553
     2060: 1.674
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.180
     2030: 0.159
     2060: 0.052
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.951
     2030: 2.026
     2060: 2.270
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 6.173
     2030: 6.275
     2060: 7.016
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 25.23
     2030: 25.39
     2060: 27.58
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 7.242
     2030: 9.041
     2060: 12.14
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 31.84
     2030: 34.10
     2060: 40.16
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.540
     2030: 0.522
     2060: 0.502
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 48.76
     2030: 49.47
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Canada -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 32.28
     2030: 33.22
     2060: 34.45
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 15.04
     2030: 14.64
     2060: 14.59
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 1.939
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.826
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.179
     2030: 2.471
     2060: 3.330
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 0.055
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.036

Education Forecast for Canada -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 108.5
     2030: 105.3
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 113.5
     2030: 109.6
     2060: 102.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 70.48
     2030: 72.28
     2060: 75.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 12.68
     2030: 12.86
     2060: 13.60
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Canada
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.049
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.007
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.049
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.994
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 1.216
     2030: 1.161
     2060: 0.920
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,575
     2030: 3,628
     2060: 3,697
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 1.110
     2030: 1.119
     2060: 1.111
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 1.537
     2030: 1.553
     2060: 1.619

Economy Forecast for Canada
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 1,819
     2030: 2,048
     2060: 3,357
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 2,230
     2030: 2,468
     2060: 3,776
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 47.07
     2030: 50.31
     2060: 71.83
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.331
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.322
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 45.88
     2030: 41.85
     2060: 39.40
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 57.99
     2030: 58.65
     2060: 63.40

Energy Forecast for Canada
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 1.581
     2030: 2.220
     2060: 4.873

Environment Forecast for Canada
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.166
     2030: 0.175
     2060: 0.192

International Politics Forecast for Canada
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 1.723
     2030: 1.643
     2060: 1.398

Domestic Government Forecast for Canada
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 8.661
     2030: 9.145
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 4.369
     2030: 4.376
     2060: 4.411
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 8.250
     2030: 8.276
     2060: 8.386