Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 6.574
     2030: 6.854
     2060: 7.136
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.518
     2030: 0.338
     2060: -0.182
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 17.55
     2030: 14.90
     2060: 11.28
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 6.345
     2030: 7.206
     2060: 10.21
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 10.24
     2030: 7.535
     2060: 3.276
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 75.90
     2030: 76.84
     2060: 80.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 71.63
     2030: 72.21
     2060: 75.32
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 79.73
     2030: 81.03
     2060: 84.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 2.014
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.296
     2030: 0.252
     2060: 0.080
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.591
     2030: 0.519
     2060: 0.411
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 1.730
     2030: 1.638
     2060: 1.266
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 4.246
     2030: 4.450
     2060: 4.377
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.598
     2030: 0.766
     2060: 1.492
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 4.811
     2030: 5.237
     2060: 5.705
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.423
     2030: 0.421
     2060: 0.392
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 43.53
     2030: 45.39
     2060: 48.51

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 22.63
     2030: 24.38
     2060: 29.00
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 12.89
     2030: 13.39
     2060: 15.29
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 4.710
     2030: 4.224
     2060: 3.408
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 3.259
     2030: 0.342
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 8.467
     2030: 6.580
     2060: 3.625

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 105.3
     2030: 105.9
     2060: 101.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 91.21
     2030: 93.93
     2060: 99.78
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 97.28
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 103.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 59.85
     2030: 64.00
     2060: 74.47
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 28.43
     2030: 30.98
     2060: 39.43
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 7.855
     2030: 8.623
     2060: 10.21
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 90.08
     2030: 92.65
     2060: 99.18

Social/Human Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.317
     2030: 0.238
     2060: 0.061
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.368
     2030: 0.282
     2060: 0.077
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.818
     2030: 0.839
     2060: 0.900
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 7.102
     2030: 5.331
     2060: 1.747
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,643
     2030: 2,757
     2060: 3,029
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.910
     2030: -1.771
     2060: -1.219
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.505
     2030: 0.537
     2060: 0.535

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 44.96
     2030: 53.54
     2060: 81.66
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 23.12
     2030: 28.69
     2060: 53.54
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 6.839
     2030: 7.812
     2060: 11.44
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.462
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.417
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 46.92
     2030: 44.45
     2060: 19.59
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 11.59
     2030: 14.07
     2060: 22.87

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.039
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 11.30
     2030: 11.79
     2060: 12.91
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 18.26
     2030: 19.40
     2060: 19.59
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.336
     2030: 3.758
     2060: 4.528
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.285
     2030: 2.476
     2060: 2.907
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.001
     2030: 7.164
     2060: 7.365