Country Profile - United States of America      IFs Version 7.78
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States of America
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States of America -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 331.9
     2030: 347.8
     2060: 378.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.539
     2030: 0.479
     2060: 0.231
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 11.69
     2030: 11.65
     2060: 10.66
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.959
     2030: 9.567
     2060: 11.15
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 5.172
     2030: 4.046
     2060: 2.063
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 79.26
     2030: 80.41
     2060: 83.72
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 76.78
     2030: 77.85
     2060: 81.08
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 81.69
     2030: 82.92
     2060: 86.30
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.734
     2030: 1.785
     2060: 1.825
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.354
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.099
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 19.14
     2030: 20.14
     2060: 20.01
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 61.45
     2030: 59.75
     2060: 60.53
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 216.6
     2030: 219.1
     2060: 228.0
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 53.80
     2030: 68.95
     2060: 89.92
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 275.9
     2030: 294.9
     2060: 329.1
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.502
     2030: 0.489
     2060: 0.473
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 47.10
     2030: 48.57
     2060: 49.86

Health Forecast for United States of America -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 53.06
     2030: 54.54
     2060: 53.08
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 17.11
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 16.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.977
     2030: 1.917
     2060: 1.968
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.394
     2030: 0.889
     2060: 1.592
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.296
     2030: 1.932
     2060: 1.513

Education Forecast for United States of America -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.1
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.52
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 102.5
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 99.49
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 97.00
     2030: 98.92
     2060: 98.14
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 84.25
     2030: 84.64
     2060: 86.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 13.50
     2030: 13.60
     2060: 13.96
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for United States of America
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.988
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.532
     2030: 1.423
     2060: 1.079
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,795
     2030: 3,851
     2060: 3,795
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.738
     2030: 0.736
     2060: 0.822
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.509
     2030: 1.525
     2060: 1.644

Economy Forecast for United States of America
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 19,062
     2030: 23,212
     2060: 36,809
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 19,159
     2030: 23,319
     2060: 36,919
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 57.44
     2030: 66.75
     2060: 97.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.413
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.400
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 40.76
     2030: 36.16
     2060: 34.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 68.89
     2030: 70.18
     2060: 77.40

Energy Forecast for United States of America
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 4.217
     2030: 6.367
     2060: 9.266

Environment Forecast for United States of America
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 1.405
     2030: 1.430
     2060: 1.086

International Politics Forecast for United States of America
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 18.29
     2030: 17.34
     2060: 15.06

Domestic Government Forecast for United States of America
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 13.06
     2030: 13.19
     2060: 13.54
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 18.16
     2030: 18.52
     2060: 18.85
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 7.592
     2030: 9.017
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 4.027
     2030: 4.143
     2060: 4.427
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 8.227
     2030: 8.310
     2060: 8.505