Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.78
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 18.76
     2030: 23.88
     2060: 44.23
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 2.698
     2030: 2.654
     2060: 1.444
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 35.49
     2030: 33.98
     2060: 21.18
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.030
     2030: 7.228
     2060: 6.628
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 42.72
     2030: 37.99
     2060: 22.52
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 60.01
     2030: 62.64
     2060: 69.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 56.51
     2030: 58.79
     2060: 64.94
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 63.46
     2030: 66.47
     2060: 73.77
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 4.494
     2030: 4.129
     2060: 2.618
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 5.959
     2030: 4.572
     2060: 1.028
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 3.025
     2030: 3.688
     2060: 4.576
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 8.307
     2030: 9.712
     2060: 13.44
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 10.07
     2030: 13.63
     2060: 28.56
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.387
     2030: 0.532
     2060: 2.231
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 8.536
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 28.73
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.414
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.406
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 49.10
     2030: 49.82
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 1.315
     2030: 1.679
     2060: 3.981
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 15.87
     2030: 15.92
     2060: 16.66
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 11.75
     2030: 10.41
     2060: 5.407
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 10.89
     2030: 7.513
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 41.45
     2030: 29.81
     2060: 9.179

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.0
     2030: 104.0
     2060: 105.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 86.01
     2030: 88.12
     2060: 94.70
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 63.23
     2030: 69.60
     2060: 85.24
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 33.86
     2030: 36.80
     2060: 53.38
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 5.012
     2030: 9.233
     2060: 23.86
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 7.025
     2030: 7.259
     2060: 8.187
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 87.35
     2030: 88.71
     2060: 98.73

Social/Human Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 4.518
     2030: 4.740
     2060: 3.575
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 7.502
     2030: 8.251
     2060: 7.812
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.683
     2030: 0.707
     2060: 0.804
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 17.85
     2030: 15.75
     2060: 8.616
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,061
     2030: 2,193
     2060: 2,674
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.168
     2030: -0.233
     2060: -0.391
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.311
     2030: -0.304
     2060: -0.260

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 65.42
     2030: 90.31
     2060: 268.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 31.73
     2030: 42.65
     2060: 145.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.488
     2030: 3.782
     2060: 6.080
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.569
     2030: 0.569
     2060: 0.548
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 35.82
     2030: 35.91
     2060: 36.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 5.824
     2030: 7.408
     2060: 16.52

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.082
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.111

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 8.040
     2030: 8.153
     2060: 8.745
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 15.94
     2030: 16.04
     2060: 17.58
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.119
     2030: 3.256
     2060: 3.775
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.823
     2030: 1.942
     2060: 2.459
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.758
     2030: 6.844
     2060: 7.116