Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 20.44
     2030: 23.26
     2060: 37.51
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 2.174
     2030: 2.143
     2060: 0.903
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 29.63
     2030: 28.62
     2060: 16.42
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.535
     2030: 7.003
     2060: 7.282
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 39.78
     2030: 33.07
     2060: 15.57
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 60.70
     2030: 63.01
     2060: 70.52
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 57.17
     2030: 59.29
     2060: 66.31
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 64.14
     2030: 66.65
     2060: 74.63
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 4.215
     2030: 3.868
     2060: 2.158
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 5.273
     2030: 4.379
     2060: 0.984
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 2.737
     2030: 3.071
     2060: 3.111
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 8.323
     2030: 8.584
     2060: 9.696
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 11.73
     2030: 14.15
     2060: 25.38
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.388
     2030: 0.529
     2060: 2.436
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 9.911
     2030: 12.40
     2060: 26.55
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.338
     2030: 0.342
     2060: 0.337
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 46.21
     2030: 47.36
     2060: 49.57

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 1.622
     2030: 2.057
     2060: 5.294
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 15.85
     2030: 15.97
     2060: 17.49
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 10.04
     2030: 7.870
     2060: 2.967
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 8.794
     2030: 5.519
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 29.26
     2030: 24.22
     2060: 8.436

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.1
     2030: 104.4
     2060: 104.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 88.56
     2030: 89.96
     2060: 96.45
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 66.26
     2030: 73.48
     2060: 89.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 39.22
     2030: 43.44
     2060: 61.02
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 6.641
     2030: 10.74
     2060: 26.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 7.628
     2030: 7.828
     2060: 9.133
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 87.57
     2030: 88.75
     2060: 99.52

Social/Human Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 10.91
     2030: 10.14
     2060: 4.041
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 14.48
     2030: 14.48
     2060: 8.697
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.686
     2030: 0.712
     2060: 0.835
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 15.92
     2030: 13.06
     2060: 4.507
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,082
     2030: 2,213
     2060: 2,783
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.166
     2030: -0.191
     2060: -0.280
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.362
     2030: -0.319
     2060: -0.114

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 69.26
     2030: 92.97
     2060: 338.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 31.09
     2030: 44.09
     2060: 218.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 3.388
     2030: 3.996
     2060: 9.019
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.573
     2030: 0.562
     2060: 0.533
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 33.45
     2030: 34.35
     2060: 36.31
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 7.058
     2030: 9.303
     2060: 19.93

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.018

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.082
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.129

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.046
     2030: 8.228
     2060: 9.191
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 16.06
     2030: 16.24
     2060: 18.69
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.417
     2030: 3.520
     2060: 4.415
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.874
     2030: 2.015
     2060: 2.754
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.102
     2030: 7.200
     2060: 7.694