Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 19.00
     2030: 24.60
     2060: 46.62
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 3.000
     2030: 2.746
     2060: 1.507
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 38.44
     2030: 34.53
     2060: 21.50
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.260
     2030: 6.942
     2060: 6.348
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 43.56
     2030: 35.37
     2060: 21.15
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 59.86
     2030: 63.10
     2060: 69.71
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 56.39
     2030: 59.36
     2060: 65.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 63.28
     2030: 66.83
     2060: 73.99
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 4.890
     2030: 4.325
     2060: 2.646
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 6.080
     2030: 4.665
     2060: 1.049
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 3.230
     2030: 3.911
     2060: 4.915
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 8.425
     2030: 10.37
     2060: 14.44
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 10.19
     2030: 13.70
     2060: 29.92
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.382
     2030: 0.534
     2060: 2.266
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 8.565
     2030: 12.15
     2060: 29.88
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.411
     2030: 0.414
     2060: 0.403
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 49.20
     2030: 49.81
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 1.570
     2030: 2.078
     2060: 3.879
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 15.89
     2030: 16.04
     2060: 16.85
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 12.35
     2030: 10.15
     2060: 5.738
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 11.35
     2030: 7.875
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 37.20
     2030: 24.23
     2060: 10.10

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.8
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 104.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 88.28
     2030: 89.99
     2060: 95.47
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 65.69
     2030: 72.07
     2060: 86.46
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 34.86
     2030: 39.51
     2060: 56.44
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 6.062
     2030: 12.07
     2060: 26.37
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 7.007
     2030: 7.304
     2060: 8.456
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 87.69
     2030: 89.24
     2060: 98.86

Social/Human Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 10.14
     2030: 11.65
     2060: 14.06
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 10.44
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 14.77
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.681
     2030: 0.717
     2060: 0.811
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 17.68
     2030: 14.92
     2060: 8.239
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,121
     2030: 2,276
     2060: 2,637
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.186
     2030: -0.232
     2060: -0.384
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.319
     2030: -0.282
     2060: -0.227

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 63.76
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 309.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 31.09
     2030: 50.84
     2060: 173.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.356
     2030: 4.169
     2060: 6.636
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.560
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 0.520
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 34.42
     2030: 35.44
     2060: 37.12
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 5.971
     2030: 8.972
     2060: 18.22

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.090
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.185

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 9.063
     2030: 9.323
     2060: 10.10
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 16.88
     2030: 17.06
     2060: 18.32
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.070
     2030: 3.323
     2060: 3.852
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.902
     2030: 2.108
     2060: 2.586
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.670
     2030: 6.856
     2060: 7.116