Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 61.64
     2030: 65.17
     2060: 74.76
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.067
     2030: 0.775
     2060: 0.230
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 19.43
     2030: 16.90
     2060: 13.29
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 10.44
     2030: 10.44
     2060: 11.76
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 26.55
     2030: 25.66
     2060: 19.20
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 63.45
     2030: 64.57
     2060: 70.64
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 60.25
     2030: 61.15
     2060: 66.68
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 66.50
     2030: 67.85
     2060: 74.43
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.441
     2030: 2.266
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 13.12
     2030: 13.85
     2060: 14.89
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 5.949
     2030: 5.574
     2060: 4.961
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 17.39
     2030: 17.30
     2060: 14.97
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 40.38
     2030: 43.05
     2060: 48.29
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 3.870
     2030: 4.822
     2060: 11.51
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 42.69
     2030: 47.01
     2060: 59.58
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.420
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.390
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 47.98
     2030: 48.87
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 32.25
     2030: 33.49
     2060: 38.72
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 18.78
     2030: 18.84
     2060: 20.81
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 4.089
     2030: 3.828
     2060: 2.967
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 4.307
     2030: 2.899
     2060: 0.673
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 5.691
     2030: 4.353
     2060: 1.239

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.0
     2030: 104.4
     2060: 101.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 90.34
     2030: 94.01
     2060: 99.94
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 101.6
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 101.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 106.0
     2030: 108.3
     2060: 107.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 25.20
     2030: 27.10
     2060: 43.58
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 10.07
     2030: 10.18
     2060: 10.90
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 95.92
     2030: 96.87
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 13.21
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 10.88
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 25.36
     2030: 26.43
     2060: 23.64
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.805
     2030: 0.816
     2060: 0.874
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 11.83
     2030: 11.11
     2060: 6.829
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,910
     2030: 2,979
     2060: 3,241
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.081
     2030: 0.067
     2060: -0.053
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.347
     2030: -0.311
     2060: -0.095

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 806.8
     2030: 882.5
     2060: 1,306
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 397.0
     2030: 448.3
     2060: 821.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 13.09
     2030: 13.54
     2060: 17.47
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.634
     2030: 0.634
     2060: 0.626
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 40.19
     2030: 30.86
     2060: 18.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.65
     2030: 20.90
     2060: 33.16

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.123
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.049

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.351
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.314

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 11.98
     2030: 12.03
     2060: 12.58
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.43
     2030: 19.55
     2060: 19.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.433
     2030: 4.558
     2060: 5.439
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.878
     2030: 2.928
     2060: 3.245
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.953
     2030: 6.972
     2060: 7.120