Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.89
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     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 60.81
     2030: 65.84
     2060: 76.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.145
     2030: 0.842
     2060: 0.228
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 19.39
     2030: 17.19
     2060: 13.03
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 9.897
     2030: 10.08
     2060: 11.53
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 26.55
     2030: 25.07
     2060: 18.84
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 63.50
     2030: 65.18
     2060: 71.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 60.31
     2030: 61.67
     2060: 67.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 66.61
     2030: 68.59
     2060: 74.89
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 2.334
     2030: 2.172
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 13.27
     2030: 14.11
     2060: 14.91
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 5.853
     2030: 5.600
     2060: 4.971
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 17.55
     2030: 17.25
     2060: 15.15
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 39.66
     2030: 43.80
     2060: 49.81
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 3.598
     2030: 4.785
     2060: 11.62
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 41.66
     2030: 47.81
     2060: 61.25
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.394
     2030: 0.395
     2060: 0.372
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 46.14
     2030: 47.60
     2060: 49.60

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 30.64
     2030: 32.14
     2060: 36.53
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 18.92
     2030: 19.09
     2060: 20.73
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 5.227
     2030: 4.861
     2060: 3.523
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 5.542
     2030: 4.151
     2060: 2.212
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 4.952
     2030: 3.552
     2060: 1.242

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 102.0
     2030: 104.5
     2060: 101.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 87.79
     2030: 91.94
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 101.3
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 101.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 106.4
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 106.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 24.59
     2030: 29.45
     2060: 46.18
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 9.987
     2030: 10.17
     2060: 11.02
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 88.35
     2030: 90.21
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.246
     2030: 0.227
     2060: 0.105
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 4.391
     2030: 4.326
     2060: 3.010
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.779
     2030: 0.797
     2060: 0.874
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 12.83
     2030: 11.35
     2060: 6.606
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,948
     2030: 3,030
     2060: 3,251
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.078
     2030: 0.059
     2060: -0.062
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.345
     2030: -0.298
     2060: -0.093

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 782.4
     2030: 890.8
     2060: 1,288
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 511.5
     2030: 590.3
     2060: 954.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 12.87
     2030: 13.53
     2060: 16.82
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.628
     2030: 0.626
     2060: 0.609
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 33.84
     2030: 22.30
     2060: 14.71
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.77
     2030: 22.04
     2060: 34.85

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.126
     2030: 0.131
     2060: 0.139

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.401
     2030: 0.382
     2060: 0.350

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 12.06
     2030: 12.16
     2060: 12.79
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.61
     2030: 19.85
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 4.357
     2030: 4.562
     2060: 5.409
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.810
     2030: 2.887
     2060: 3.162
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 6.885
     2030: 6.912
     2060: 7.008