Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 59.80
     2030: 64.95
     2060: 74.62
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 1.084
     2030: 0.776
     2060: 0.185
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 20.00
     2030: 17.45
     2060: 13.00
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 10.08
     2030: 10.04
     2060: 11.41
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 34.26
     2030: 31.50
     2060: 24.77
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 63.14
     2030: 65.41
     2060: 71.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 60.44
     2030: 62.02
     2060: 67.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 65.77
     2030: 68.71
     2060: 75.24
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 2.443
     2030: 2.245
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 13.22
     2030: 14.14
     2060: 14.91
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.855
     2030: 5.551
     2060: 4.782
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 17.28
     2030: 16.97
     2060: 14.47
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 38.89
     2030: 43.07
     2060: 48.55
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 3.630
     2030: 4.915
     2060: 11.60
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 40.91
     2030: 47.63
     2060: 59.94
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.394
     2030: 0.395
     2060: 0.371
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 46.40
     2030: 47.90
     2060: 49.65

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 31.45
     2030: 32.20
     2060: 34.55
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 18.85
     2030: 19.28
     2060: 20.67
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 6.409
     2030: 6.090
     2060: 4.793
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 8.199
     2030: 6.267
     2060: 5.554
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 5.005
     2030: 4.557
     2060: 3.224

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 105.5
     2030: 106.7
     2060: 102.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 88.64
     2030: 92.38
     2060: 98.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 103.5
     2030: 104.0
     2060: 100.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 111.4
     2030: 112.2
     2060: 111.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 21.24
     2030: 26.80
     2060: 38.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 9.927
     2030: 10.15
     2060: 10.76
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 95.58
     2030: 97.11
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.941
     2030: 1.021
     2060: 0.629
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 4.840
     2030: 5.202
     2060: 3.873
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.793
     2030: 0.817
     2060: 0.873
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 12.80
     2030: 10.90
     2060: 6.800
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,976
     2030: 3,018
     2060: 3,136
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.072
     2030: 0.049
     2060: -0.084
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.348
     2030: -0.291
     2060: -0.105

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 672.8
     2030: 821.8
     2060: 1,159
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 437.8
     2030: 545.3
     2060: 844.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 11.25
     2030: 12.65
     2060: 15.53
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.628
     2030: 0.631
     2060: 0.621
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 38.11
     2030: 25.17
     2060: 12.43
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 17.06
     2030: 19.55
     2060: 28.93

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.131
     2030: 0.133
     2060: 0.062

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.476
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.409

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 12.05
     2030: 12.20
     2060: 12.67
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.62
     2030: 19.83
     2060: 19.93
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 4.056
     2030: 4.417
     2060: 5.158
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.745
     2030: 2.879
     2060: 3.153
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.701
     2030: 6.802
     2060: 6.906