Country Profile - Samoa      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Samoa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Samoa -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 0.229
     2030: 0.244
     2060: 0.326
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 1.382
     2030: 1.238
     2060: 0.562
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 26.23
     2030: 25.65
     2060: 17.48
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 6.228
     2030: 6.430
     2060: 6.683
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 9.870
     2030: 9.407
     2060: 5.564
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 71.30
     2030: 71.71
     2060: 75.56
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 70.01
     2030: 70.21
     2060: 73.76
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 72.65
     2030: 73.30
     2060: 77.47
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 3.804
     2030: 3.621
     2060: 2.354
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.029
     2030: 0.030
     2060: 0.029
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 0.084
     2030: 0.085
     2060: 0.088
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.131
     2030: 0.143
     2060: 0.211
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.013
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.027
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 0.039
     2030: 0.041
     2060: 0.053
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.335
     2030: 0.337
     2060: 0.350
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 39.10
     2030: 40.36
     2060: 45.39

Health Forecast for Samoa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 65.68
     2030: 67.61
     2060: 77.84
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 31.67
     2030: 31.39
     2060: 31.23
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 3.439
     2030: 3.308
     2060: 2.709
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 3.585
     2030: 2.665
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 4.909
     2030: 3.931
     2060: 0.798

Education Forecast for Samoa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 108.5
     2030: 106.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 96.78
     2030: 97.41
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 103.4
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 76.19
     2030: 77.85
     2060: 88.66
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 20.74
     2030: 21.75
     2060: 35.45
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 10.96
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 11.72
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 99.50
     2030: 99.84
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Samoa
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.025
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.817
     2030: 0.823
     2060: 0.888
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 3.557
     2030: 3.379
     2060: 2.241
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,021
     2030: 3,072
     2060: 3,328
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.030
     2030: 0.059
     2060: 0.242
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.002
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.355

Economy Forecast for Samoa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 1.374
     2030: 1.555
     2060: 4.465
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 0.922
     2030: 1.054
     2060: 3.735
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 6.006
     2030: 6.374
     2060: 13.69
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.390
     2030: 0.392
     2060: 0.402
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 52.08
     2030: 50.88
     2060: 46.77
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 14.59
     2030: 15.31
     2060: 28.89

Energy Forecast for Samoa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Samoa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Samoa
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.029
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.071

Domestic Government Forecast for Samoa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 12.02
     2030: 12.09
     2060: 13.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 14.12
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 15.37
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.448
     2030: 3.491
     2060: 4.559
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 3.021
     2030: 3.039
     2060: 3.450
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.476
     2030: 6.505
     2060: 6.909