Country Profile - St. Vincent and the Grenadines      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 0.105
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.098
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.081
     2030: 0.042
     2060: -0.549
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 11.96
     2030: 11.92
     2060: 9.398
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.430
     2030: 9.765
     2060: 13.05
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 10.95
     2030: 8.735
     2060: 3.199
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 74.27
     2030: 75.21
     2060: 79.36
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 72.14
     2030: 72.93
     2060: 76.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 76.48
     2030: 77.57
     2060: 81.95
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.690
     2030: 1.700
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.005
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.022
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.071
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.060
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.012
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.022
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 0.056
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.058
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.485
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.452
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 41.98
     2030: 43.44
     2060: 47.58

Health Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 23.53
     2030: 24.77
     2060: 28.51
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 12.48
     2030: 12.92
     2060: 15.48
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 4.815
     2030: 4.366
     2060: 3.040
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 5.085
     2030: 5.394
     2060: 6.056
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.763
     2030: 1.903
     2060: 0.255

Education Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 109.8
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 97.17
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 132.4
     2030: 122.9
     2060: 104.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 98.65
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 98.80
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 28.76
     2030: 36.07
     2060: 55.56
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 10.71
     2030: 11.12
     2060: 12.77
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 96.21
     2030: 96.90
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.007
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.021
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.874
     2030: 0.887
     2060: 0.951
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 4.236
     2030: 3.793
     2060: 1.882
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,210
     2030: 3,288
     2060: 3,507
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.222
     2030: 0.273
     2060: 0.455
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.490
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.773

Economy Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1.594
     2030: 1.769
     2060: 2.852
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 0.998
     2030: 1.187
     2060: 2.507
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 15.15
     2030: 16.75
     2060: 29.24
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.435
     2030: 0.434
     2060: 0.431
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 67.23
     2030: 65.42
     2060: 56.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 21.90
     2030: 26.01
     2060: 41.91

Energy Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.021
     2030: 0.067
     2060: 0.076

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 16.38
     2030: 16.67
     2060: 18.07
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.042
     2030: 6.186
     2060: 7.405
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.905
     2030: 3.004
     2060: 3.522
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.024
     2030: 7.080
     2060: 7.379