Country Profile - United States of America      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States of America
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States of America -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 336.2
     2030: 349.0
     2060: 384.0
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 0.554
     2030: 0.494
     2060: 0.254
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 11.81
     2030: 11.63
     2060: 10.75
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 9.033
     2030: 9.585
     2060: 11.02
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 4.864
     2030: 4.127
     2060: 2.121
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 79.54
     2030: 80.31
     2060: 83.61
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 77.04
     2030: 77.75
     2060: 80.96
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 81.98
     2030: 82.83
     2060: 86.19
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.756
     2030: 1.785
     2060: 1.825
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.344
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.099
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 19.46
     2030: 20.37
     2060: 20.68
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 61.46
     2030: 60.77
     2060: 62.83
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 217.5
     2030: 219.4
     2060: 231.5
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 57.21
     2030: 68.89
     2060: 89.72
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 280.6
     2030: 295.2
     2060: 330.9
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.497
     2030: 0.486
     2060: 0.472
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 47.66
     2030: 48.68
     2060: 49.89

Health Forecast for United States of America -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 53.50
     2030: 54.40
     2060: 52.58
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 16.82
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 16.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 1.956
     2030: 1.925
     2060: 1.997
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 1.001
     2030: 0.907
     2060: 1.680
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.002

Education Forecast for United States of America -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 100.8
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 97.57
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 102.9
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 99.56
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 98.03
     2030: 98.62
     2060: 98.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 83.87
     2030: 84.11
     2060: 85.89
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 13.52
     2030: 13.60
     2060: 13.95
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for United States of America
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.382
     2030: 0.299
     2060: 0.047
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.382
     2030: 0.299
     2060: 0.047
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.992
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 1.460
     2030: 1.384
     2060: 1.060
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,814
     2030: 3,848
     2060: 3,779
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.736
     2030: 0.733
     2060: 0.814
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 1.512
     2030: 1.520
     2060: 1.629

Economy Forecast for United States of America
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 20,275
     2030: 22,670
     2060: 35,731
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 20,277
     2030: 22,672
     2060: 35,734
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 60.30
     2030: 64.95
     2060: 93.05
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.411
     2030: 0.406
     2060: 0.397
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 39.49
     2030: 35.93
     2060: 34.40
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 68.84
     2030: 69.76
     2060: 77.43

Energy Forecast for United States of America
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 3.619
     2030: 3.848
     2060: 8.406

Environment Forecast for United States of America
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 1.337
     2030: 1.309
     2060: 1.381

International Politics Forecast for United States of America
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 18.01
     2030: 16.85
     2060: 14.55

Domestic Government Forecast for United States of America
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 13.09
     2030: 13.17
     2060: 13.50
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 18.42
     2030: 18.52
     2060: 18.85
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 8.364
     2030: 9.126
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 4.135
     2030: 4.191
     2060: 4.449
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 8.438
     2030: 8.480
     2060: 8.677