Country Profile - Uganda      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Uganda
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uganda -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 52.23
     2030: 60.57
     2060: 112.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 3.055
     2030: 2.891
     2060: 1.241
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 36.36
     2030: 34.50
     2060: 17.63
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 5.263
     2030: 5.079
     2060: 4.744
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 39.20
     2030: 35.68
     2060: 11.56
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 67.38
     2030: 68.47
     2060: 75.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 63.82
     2030: 64.91
     2060: 71.80
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 70.90
     2030: 72.00
     2060: 79.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 4.413
     2030: 4.166
     2060: 2.168
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 2.488
     2030: 2.061
     2060: 0.383
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 8.428
     2030: 9.552
     2060: 10.13
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 22.48
     2030: 25.03
     2060: 31.30
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 28.71
     2030: 34.16
     2060: 74.52
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 1.038
     2030: 1.377
     2060: 6.616
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 14.06
     2030: 17.70
     2060: 53.96
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.375
     2030: 0.374
     2060: 0.361
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 49.40
     2030: 49.40
     2060: 49.40

Health Forecast for Uganda -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 1.697
     2030: 1.941
     2060: 4.844
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 10.38
     2030: 10.52
     2060: 12.36
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 7.084
     2030: 6.119
     2060: 2.256
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 5.588
     2030: 2.856
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 28.17
     2030: 24.64
     2060: 6.363

Education Forecast for Uganda -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 112.2
     2030: 114.9
     2060: 108.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 90.30
     2030: 91.86
     2060: 97.14
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 36.80
     2030: 46.13
     2060: 80.54
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 13.33
     2030: 17.37
     2060: 52.47
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 7.992
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 25.49
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 6.840
     2030: 6.952
     2060: 8.768
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 78.03
     2030: 80.04
     2060: 95.55

Social/Human Forecast for Uganda
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 20.28
     2030: 20.21
     2060: 2.832
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 35.78
     2030: 38.10
     2060: 13.68
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.672
     2030: 0.690
     2060: 0.847
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 16.35
     2030: 14.74
     2060: 3.594
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,282
     2030: 2,365
     2060: 2,937
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.493
     2030: -1.467
     2060: -1.106
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.467
     2030: -0.407
     2060: -0.002

Economy Forecast for Uganda
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 124.0
     2030: 159.2
     2060: 965.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 45.73
     2030: 61.24
     2060: 604.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2.375
     2030: 2.628
     2060: 8.583
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.430
     2030: 0.434
     2060: 0.418
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 35.48
     2030: 36.87
     2060: 18.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 7.642
     2030: 8.954
     2060: 21.07

Energy Forecast for Uganda
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.012
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.076

Environment Forecast for Uganda
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.004
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.048

International Politics Forecast for Uganda
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.086
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.212

Domestic Government Forecast for Uganda
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 5.038
     2030: 5.147
     2060: 6.156
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 9.540
     2030: 10.18
     2060: 14.22
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 2.826
     2030: 3.008
     2060: 4.620
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.948
     2030: 2.034
     2060: 2.904
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.483
     2030: 7.575
     2060: 8.474