Country Profile - Ukraine      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Ukraine
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ukraine -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 42.52
     2030: 40.93
     2060: 30.30
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: -0.745
     2030: -0.788
     2060: -1.190
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 6.711
     2030: 6.887
     2060: 6.381
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 14.26
     2030: 14.84
     2060: 18.29
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 7.856
     2030: 7.271
     2060: 5.310
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 73.95
     2030: 74.64
     2060: 79.03
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 68.88
     2030: 69.51
     2060: 73.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 78.35
     2030: 79.11
     2060: 83.50
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.197
     2030: 1.270
     2060: 1.415
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.616
     2030: 0.682
     2060: 0.972
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 1.528
     2030: 1.408
     2060: 0.980
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 5.871
     2030: 4.820
     2060: 3.208
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 28.25
     2030: 27.11
     2060: 16.59
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 8.396
     2030: 9.008
     2060: 10.50
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 30.55
     2030: 30.14
     2060: 23.75
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.463
     2030: 0.456
     2060: 0.395
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 48.91
     2030: 49.47
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Ukraine -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 20.01
     2030: 21.14
     2060: 25.55
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 31.03
     2030: 30.90
     2060: 31.58
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 4.239
     2030: 3.923
     2060: 3.072
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 4.149
     2030: 3.116
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 4.421
     2030: 2.882
     2060: 0.570

Education Forecast for Ukraine -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 102.1
     2030: 103.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 95.80
     2030: 98.84
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 87.04
     2030: 87.63
     2060: 93.82
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 80.51
     2030: 83.36
     2060: 90.31
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 76.47
     2030: 75.70
     2060: 77.63
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 11.01
     2030: 11.15
     2060: 11.52
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Ukraine
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.240
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.314
     2030: 0.149
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.861
     2030: 0.871
     2060: 0.922
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 2.732
     2030: 2.545
     2060: 1.814
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,911
     2030: 2,996
     2060: 3,294
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.100
     2030: -0.080
     2060: 0.020
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.732
     2030: -1.678
     2060: -1.446

Economy Forecast for Ukraine
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 419.0
     2030: 450.1
     2060: 541.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 97.49
     2030: 108.9
     2060: 208.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 9.853
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 17.88
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.252
     2030: 0.254
     2060: 0.259
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 60.05
     2030: 59.83
     2060: 65.86
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 51.93
     2030: 53.73
     2060: 62.72

Energy Forecast for Ukraine
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.008
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ukraine
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.032
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.025

International Politics Forecast for Ukraine
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.223
     2030: 0.215
     2060: 0.196

Domestic Government Forecast for Ukraine
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 9.930
     2030: 10.01
     2060: 10.44
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 14.17
     2030: 14.20
     2060: 15.47
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.092
     2030: 3.276
     2060: 4.503
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 2.023
     2030: 2.142
     2060: 2.796
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.106
     2030: 6.155
     2060: 6.416