Country Profile - Taiwan      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Taiwan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Taiwan -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 23.77
     2030: 23.51
     2060: 18.25
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.097
     2030: -0.330
     2060: -1.255
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.812
     2030: 6.777
     2060: 5.970
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.785
     2030: 10.07
     2060: 18.52
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.255
     2030: 2.611
     2060: 1.141
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 80.25
     2030: 81.06
     2060: 84.17
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 77.12
     2030: 77.95
     2060: 81.20
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 83.31
     2030: 84.08
     2060: 86.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.116
     2030: 1.185
     2060: 1.428
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.970
     2030: 0.863
     2060: 0.570
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 3.029
     2030: 2.839
     2060: 1.811
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 16.45
     2030: 15.39
     2060: 9.325
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 4.298
     2030: 5.282
     2060: 7.113
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 22.16
     2030: 22.33
     2060: 17.23
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.417
     2030: 0.402
     2060: 0.345
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 37.43
     2030: 38.96
     2060: 44.23

Health Forecast for Taiwan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 21.81
     2030: 23.47
     2060: 29.34
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 17.73
     2030: 17.12
     2060: 16.02
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 7.001
     2030: 6.237
     2060: 4.042
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 6.260
     2030: 6.305
     2060: 4.825
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.574
     2030: 1.565
     2060: 0.063

Education Forecast for Taiwan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.8
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 108.7
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 99.88
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 99.07
     2030: 99.59
     2060: 98.80
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 63.03
     2030: 68.12
     2060: 78.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 13.11
     2030: 13.21
     2060: 13.82
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Taiwan
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.974
     2030: 0.988
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 2.502
     2030: 2.224
     2060: 1.504
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,059
     2030: 3,175
     2060: 3,542
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.021
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.250
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.699
     2030: -0.625
     2060: -0.232

Economy Forecast for Taiwan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 963.7
     2030: 1,130
     2060: 1,552
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 739.7
     2030: 880.7
     2060: 1,308
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 40.54
     2030: 48.09
     2060: 85.04
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.265
     2030: 0.261
     2060: 0.219
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 40.09
     2030: 33.69
     2060: 31.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 62.73
     2030: 66.74
     2060: 79.29

Energy Forecast for Taiwan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Taiwan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.073
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.052

International Politics Forecast for Taiwan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.622
     2030: 0.669
     2060: 0.526

Domestic Government Forecast for Taiwan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 7.091
     2030: 8.119
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 4.002
     2030: 4.110
     2060: 4.475
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.075
     2030: 8.167
     2060: 8.476