Country Profile - Taiwan      IFs Version 7.78
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Taiwan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Taiwan -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 23.75
     2030: 23.54
     2060: 18.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.014
     2030: -0.260
     2060: -1.190
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.198
     2030: 7.217
     2060: 6.406
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.054
     2030: 9.817
     2060: 18.31
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 3.361
     2030: 2.614
     2060: 1.274
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 80.11
     2030: 81.05
     2060: 83.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 77.00
     2030: 77.90
     2060: 80.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 83.19
     2030: 84.11
     2060: 86.74
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.188
     2030: 1.255
     2060: 1.480
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.036
     2030: 0.892
     2060: 0.615
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 3.033
     2030: 2.908
     2060: 1.923
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 17.12
     2030: 15.45
     2060: 9.665
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 3.597
     2030: 5.181
     2060: 6.988
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 22.15
     2030: 22.36
     2060: 17.52
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.421
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.344
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 37.13
     2030: 39.40
     2060: 44.46

Health Forecast for Taiwan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 21.72
     2030: 23.61
     2060: 28.42
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 17.88
     2030: 17.15
     2060: 16.14
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 7.000
     2030: 6.106
     2060: 4.082
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 6.698
     2030: 7.747
     2060: 5.662
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 6.800
     2030: 4.836
     2060: 2.089

Education Forecast for Taiwan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 103.1
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 107.7
     2030: 98.40
     2060: 99.20
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.7
     2030: 96.43
     2060: 97.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 61.26
     2030: 67.81
     2060: 74.52
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 12.67
     2030: 12.76
     2060: 12.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Taiwan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.974
     2030: 0.987
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.731
     2030: 2.359
     2060: 1.551
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,054
     2030: 3,185
     2060: 3,487
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.022
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.252
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.710
     2030: -0.597
     2060: -0.230

Economy Forecast for Taiwan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 966.7
     2030: 1,100
     2060: 1,300
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 657.0
     2030: 802.1
     2060: 1,046
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 40.70
     2030: 46.74
     2060: 69.96
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.264
     2030: 0.259
     2060: 0.235
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 36.44
     2030: 27.86
     2060: 23.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 62.28
     2030: 66.65
     2060: 76.50

Energy Forecast for Taiwan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Taiwan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.073
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.045

International Politics Forecast for Taiwan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.555
     2030: 0.550
     2060: 0.432

Domestic Government Forecast for Taiwan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 6.615
     2030: 7.572
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 3.930
     2030: 4.028
     2060: 4.314
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.888
     2030: 7.962
     2060: 8.177