Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 86.68
     2030: 89.10
     2060: 96.89
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.402
     2030: 0.518
     2060: -0.139
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 13.62
     2030: 12.54
     2060: 9.195
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 5.063
     2030: 5.799
     2060: 9.992
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 11.42
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 6.897
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 79.17
     2030: 80.10
     2060: 84.03
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 76.85
     2030: 77.75
     2060: 81.59
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 81.42
     2030: 82.40
     2060: 86.45
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.770
     2030: 1.700
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 6.305
     2030: 5.574
     2060: 4.514
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 20.47
     2030: 18.42
     2060: 14.46
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 58.35
     2030: 60.71
     2060: 59.25
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 7.862
     2030: 9.964
     2060: 23.18
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 67.45
     2030: 72.03
     2060: 82.26
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.375
     2030: 0.373
     2060: 0.342
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 32.51
     2030: 34.13
     2060: 40.24

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 29.95
     2030: 30.56
     2060: 30.61
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 27.07
     2030: 26.83
     2060: 25.38
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.998
     2030: 1.936
     2060: 1.936
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.344
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.013

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 97.39
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 94.66
     2030: 97.79
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 93.13
     2030: 96.88
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 77.90
     2030: 82.62
     2060: 96.76
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 77.97
     2030: 79.22
     2060: 82.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 9.248
     2030: 9.703
     2060: 11.78
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 97.22
     2030: 97.92
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.171
     2030: 0.115
     2060: 0.007
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 1.164
     2030: 0.858
     2060: 0.090
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.945
     2030: 0.960
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 2.299
     2030: 1.880
     2060: 1.153
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,818
     2030: 3,858
     2060: 3,866
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.171
     2030: -0.133
     2060: 0.012
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.088
     2030: -0.005
     2060: 0.262

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2,746
     2030: 3,184
     2060: 5,620
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,152
     2030: 1,465
     2060: 3,708
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 31.68
     2030: 35.74
     2060: 58.00
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.418
     2030: 0.416
     2060: 0.406
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 27.69
     2030: 26.08
     2060: 24.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 50.12
     2030: 53.70
     2060: 57.78

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.026
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.122
     2030: 0.121
     2060: 0.073

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.903
     2030: 0.957
     2060: 1.205

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 5.084
     2030: 5.234
     2060: 5.895
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 6.424
     2030: 6.976
     2060: 10.04
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.491
     2030: 5.103
     2060: 8.423
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.472
     2030: 2.623
     2060: 3.316
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.598
     2030: 6.664
     2060: 6.947