Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.89
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 87.28
     2030: 90.58
     2060: 101.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 0.492
     2030: 0.605
     2060: 0.048
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 14.64
     2030: 13.56
     2060: 10.62
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 5.166
     2030: 5.964
     2060: 9.534
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 10.62
     2030: 9.300
     2060: 5.865
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 79.72
     2030: 80.84
     2060: 85.11
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 76.43
     2030: 77.46
     2060: 81.55
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 82.91
     2030: 84.14
     2060: 88.59
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.924
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 6.555
     2030: 6.084
     2060: 5.394
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 20.46
     2030: 18.94
     2060: 16.61
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 58.43
     2030: 60.66
     2060: 60.63
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 8.392
     2030: 10.99
     2060: 24.17
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 68.50
     2030: 76.03
     2060: 89.99
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.395
     2030: 0.391
     2060: 0.359
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 34.52
     2030: 36.32
     2060: 41.93

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 30.78
     2030: 31.75
     2060: 31.20
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 27.04
     2030: 26.85
     2060: 25.11
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 1.934
     2030: 1.842
     2060: 1.894
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 1.693
     2030: 0.706
     2060: 1.935
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 0.026
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.012

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 95.83
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 92.99
     2030: 97.12
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 102.5
     2030: 104.8
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 108.2
     2030: 108.8
     2060: 101.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 87.98
     2030: 89.39
     2060: 89.88
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 8.095
     2030: 8.684
     2060: 11.22
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 96.71
     2030: 97.41
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.061
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.061
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.938
     2030: 0.955
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 2.638
     2030: 2.176
     2060: 1.184
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,754
     2030: 3,813
     2060: 3,780
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.164
     2030: -0.124
     2060: 0.021
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.071
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.275

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 2,368
     2030: 2,843
     2060: 5,429
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 1,464
     2030: 1,927
     2060: 4,513
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 27.13
     2030: 31.39
     2060: 53.54
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.410
     2030: 0.408
     2060: 0.386
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 26.24
     2030: 24.98
     2060: 26.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 40.49
     2030: 44.84
     2060: 54.57

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.025
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.066

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.141
     2030: 0.166
     2060: 0.246

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 1.007
     2030: 1.095
     2060: 1.279

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 5.149
     2030: 5.351
     2060: 6.174
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 6.588
     2030: 7.267
     2060: 10.34
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 4.349
     2030: 4.992
     2060: 8.209
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 2.685
     2030: 2.845
     2060: 3.478
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 6.755
     2030: 6.836
     2060: 7.151