Country Profile - Turkey      IFs Version 7.78
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Turkey
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Turkey -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 85.73
     2030: 90.47
     2060: 100.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.907
     2030: 0.583
     2060: 0.028
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 15.44
     2030: 13.52
     2060: 10.66
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 4.937
     2030: 5.985
     2060: 9.670
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 10.88
     2030: 9.338
     2060: 6.130
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 79.47
     2030: 80.79
     2060: 84.81
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 76.21
     2030: 77.41
     2060: 81.24
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 82.63
     2030: 84.09
     2060: 88.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.991
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 6.735
     2030: 6.107
     2060: 5.407
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 20.65
     2030: 19.03
     2060: 16.65
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 57.39
     2030: 60.47
     2060: 60.31
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 7.695
     2030: 10.97
     2060: 23.92
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 65.97
     2030: 75.89
     2060: 89.38
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.393
     2030: 0.389
     2060: 0.358
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 33.93
     2030: 36.27
     2060: 41.89

Health Forecast for Turkey -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 30.65
     2030: 32.12
     2060: 33.44
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 27.08
     2030: 26.87
     2060: 25.28
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.962
     2030: 1.831
     2060: 1.777
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.901
     2030: 0.779
     2060: 1.022
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.258
     2030: 1.807
     2060: 1.216

Education Forecast for Turkey -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 94.68
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 91.74
     2030: 97.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 102.2
     2030: 104.0
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 108.0
     2030: 107.4
     2060: 101.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 87.89
     2030: 89.14
     2060: 89.06
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 7.964
     2030: 8.719
     2060: 11.20
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 96.54
     2030: 97.41
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Turkey
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.935
     2030: 0.953
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.743
     2030: 2.172
     2060: 1.198
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,581
     2030: 3,669
     2060: 3,744
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.176
     2030: -0.126
     2060: 0.010
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.097
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.254

Economy Forecast for Turkey
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 2,262
     2030: 2,783
     2060: 4,905
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 1,358
     2030: 1,885
     2060: 4,094
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 26.38
     2030: 30.76
     2060: 48.62
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.412
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.384
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 32.61
     2030: 31.02
     2060: 28.12
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 39.79
     2030: 44.39
     2060: 53.41

Energy Forecast for Turkey
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.019
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Turkey
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.109
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.149

International Politics Forecast for Turkey
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.934
     2030: 1.002
     2060: 1.074

Domestic Government Forecast for Turkey
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 5.105
     2030: 5.356
     2060: 6.145
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 6.365
     2030: 7.172
     2060: 9.823
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 4.412
     2030: 5.066
     2060: 7.578
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.628
     2030: 2.812
     2060: 3.389
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.681
     2030: 6.768
     2060: 7.032