Country Profile - Tonga      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Tonga
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tonga -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 0.111
     2030: 0.116
     2060: 0.133
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.947
     2030: 0.880
     2060: -0.056
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 22.40
     2030: 21.88
     2060: 12.78
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 5.986
     2030: 6.251
     2060: 7.783
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 9.765
     2030: 9.218
     2060: 4.967
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 73.98
     2030: 74.46
     2060: 77.91
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 70.76
     2030: 71.08
     2060: 74.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 77.15
     2030: 77.79
     2060: 81.55
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 3.093
     2030: 2.924
     2060: 1.822
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.012
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.009
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 0.036
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.028
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.067
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.090
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.007
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.015
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 0.025
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.028
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.350
     2030: 0.354
     2060: 0.356
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 42.31
     2030: 43.49
     2060: 47.62

Health Forecast for Tonga -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 79.05
     2030: 82.10
     2060: 99.49
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 30.29
     2030: 30.20
     2060: 31.52
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 2.001
     2030: 1.958
     2060: 1.659
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 1.374
     2030: 0.938
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 12.67
     2030: 9.986
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Tonga -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 108.2
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 95.18
     2030: 97.46
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 102.0
     2030: 99.65
     2060: 98.08
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 68.97
     2030: 73.48
     2060: 86.29
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 21.24
     2030: 23.25
     2060: 42.00
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 11.08
     2030: 11.34
     2060: 12.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 99.80
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tonga
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.013
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.835
     2030: 0.842
     2060: 0.908
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 2.491
     2030: 2.323
     2060: 1.413
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,638
     2030: 2,697
     2060: 3,088
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.043
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.246
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.032
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.366

Economy Forecast for Tonga
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 0.697
     2030: 0.773
     2060: 2.070
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 0.480
     2030: 0.534
     2060: 1.774
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 6.293
     2030: 6.663
     2060: 15.54
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.337
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.360
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 53.89
     2030: 52.71
     2060: 49.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 15.09
     2030: 16.28
     2060: 33.22

Energy Forecast for Tonga
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Tonga
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Tonga
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.030
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.070

Domestic Government Forecast for Tonga
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 12.10
     2030: 12.25
     2060: 13.32
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 14.13
     2030: 14.15
     2060: 16.03
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.492
     2030: 3.543
     2060: 4.782
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 2.769
     2030: 2.803
     2060: 3.367
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.502
     2030: 6.530
     2060: 6.981