Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 9.694
     2030: 11.36
     2060: 16.00
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 2.028
     2030: 1.556
     2060: 0.628
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 27.57
     2030: 22.61
     2060: 14.09
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 5.002
     2030: 5.169
     2060: 6.732
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 37.23
     2030: 29.88
     2060: 10.11
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 72.19
     2030: 73.64
     2060: 79.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 69.69
     2030: 71.08
     2060: 76.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 74.74
     2030: 76.27
     2060: 82.16
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 3.419
     2030: 3.043
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.191
     2030: 0.228
     2060: 0.311
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.308
     2030: 1.237
     2060: 1.106
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 3.552
     2030: 3.748
     2060: 3.508
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.781
     2030: 6.955
     2060: 10.52
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.361
     2030: 0.661
     2060: 1.974
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 2.649
     2030: 3.311
     2060: 6.177
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.274
     2030: 0.275
     2060: 0.274
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 38.99
     2030: 41.12
     2060: 45.66

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 14.57
     2030: 16.53
     2060: 24.36
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 22.22
     2030: 21.96
     2060: 22.22
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 8.029
     2030: 6.011
     2060: 4.127
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 6.909
     2030: 2.607
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 22.65
     2030: 15.51
     2060: 4.859

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 99.98
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 98.87
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 99.80
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 70.68
     2030: 82.64
     2060: 95.31
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 26.70
     2030: 37.27
     2060: 59.22
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 10.32
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 11.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.985
     2030: 0.835
     2060: 0.203
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 1.080
     2030: 0.915
     2060: 0.227
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.786
     2030: 0.807
     2060: 0.890
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 9.595
     2030: 4.600
     2060: 2.256
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,203
     2030: 2,348
     2060: 2,829
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.172
     2030: -0.180
     2060: -0.222
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.492
     2030: -0.491
     2060: -0.537

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 29.86
     2030: 44.38
     2060: 158.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 12.04
     2030: 19.70
     2060: 104.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.081
     2030: 3.905
     2060: 9.899
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.393
     2030: 0.422
     2060: 0.470
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 42.03
     2030: 42.41
     2060: 18.66
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 10.29
     2030: 18.47
     2060: 37.23

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.010

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.043
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.086

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 3.013
     2030: 3.038
     2060: 3.355
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 7.689
     2030: 8.234
     2060: 10.20
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.388
     2030: 2.621
     2060: 3.594
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.777
     2030: 1.981
     2060: 2.717
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.323
     2030: 6.494
     2060: 7.031