Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.78
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 9.784
     2030: 11.65
     2060: 16.94
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 2.253
     2030: 1.652
     2060: 0.648
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 29.23
     2030: 23.26
     2060: 14.20
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 4.868
     2030: 5.050
     2060: 6.618
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 36.54
     2030: 31.67
     2060: 12.70
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 72.29
     2030: 73.48
     2060: 78.56
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 69.87
     2030: 70.98
     2060: 75.67
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 74.77
     2030: 76.04
     2060: 81.52
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 3.490
     2030: 3.143
     2060: 1.915
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.187
     2030: 0.225
     2060: 0.311
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.380
     2030: 1.318
     2060: 1.231
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 3.571
     2030: 3.990
     2060: 3.926
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.882
     2030: 7.038
     2060: 11.02
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.331
     2030: 0.627
     2060: 1.992
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 2.688
     2030: 3.436
     2060: 6.760
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.269
     2030: 0.271
     2060: 0.270
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 38.77
     2030: 40.99
     2060: 45.68

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 12.02
     2030: 13.77
     2060: 21.32
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 22.20
     2030: 21.98
     2060: 21.92
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 7.159
     2030: 5.981
     2060: 3.867
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 5.977
     2030: 2.657
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 26.17
     2030: 16.97
     2060: 5.056

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 100.8
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 98.47
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 99.50
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 99.53
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 70.30
     2030: 79.05
     2060: 92.12
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 31.24
     2030: 36.65
     2060: 56.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 10.18
     2030: 10.19
     2060: 11.07
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 2.279
     2030: 2.502
     2060: 0.554
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 3.849
     2030: 4.231
     2060: 1.290
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.790
     2030: 0.804
     2060: 0.879
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 8.485
     2030: 5.977
     2060: 2.479
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,188
     2030: 2,332
     2060: 2,837
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.151
     2030: -0.163
     2060: -0.238
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.444
     2030: -0.454
     2060: -0.565

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 31.70
     2030: 43.86
     2060: 145.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 12.37
     2030: 18.20
     2060: 85.66
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.240
     2030: 3.763
     2060: 8.584
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.345
     2030: 0.359
     2060: 0.382
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 42.39
     2030: 42.51
     2060: 44.00
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 11.07
     2030: 15.78
     2060: 32.58

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.056
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.093

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 3.021
     2030: 3.037
     2060: 3.312
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 7.477
     2030: 8.176
     2060: 10.05
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.402
     2030: 2.578
     2060: 3.389
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.586
     2030: 1.754
     2060: 2.488
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.105
     2030: 6.199
     2060: 6.633