Country Profile - Tajikistan      IFs Version 7.89
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     Forecast Categories for Tajikistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Tajikistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 10.20
     2030: 11.61
     2060: 16.72
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 2.085
     2030: 1.653
     2060: 0.652
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 27.50
     2030: 23.15
     2060: 14.04
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 4.834
     2030: 4.916
     2060: 6.459
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 35.30
     2030: 30.12
     2060: 13.93
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 72.69
     2030: 73.93
     2060: 79.37
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 70.18
     2030: 71.29
     2060: 76.37
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 75.26
     2030: 76.63
     2060: 82.43
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 3.401
     2030: 3.124
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.195
     2030: 0.225
     2060: 0.311
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.368
     2030: 1.309
     2060: 1.174
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 3.725
     2030: 3.959
     2060: 3.752
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 6.095
     2030: 7.026
     2060: 10.93
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.382
     2030: 0.628
     2060: 2.044
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 2.844
     2030: 3.436
     2060: 6.736
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.269
     2030: 0.270
     2060: 0.269
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 39.78
     2030: 41.45
     2060: 46.03

Health Forecast for Tajikistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 12.25
     2030: 13.52
     2060: 20.43
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 22.19
     2030: 22.03
     2060: 22.49
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 6.932
     2030: 5.916
     2060: 3.783
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 5.219
     2030: 2.494
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 14.13
     2030: 11.18
     2060: 3.153

Education Forecast for Tajikistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 100.7
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 99.09
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 100.2
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 99.52
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 71.29
     2030: 80.16
     2060: 93.98
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 30.61
     2030: 36.99
     2060: 61.78
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 10.16
     2030: 10.18
     2060: 11.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Tajikistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 2.164
     2030: 1.886
     2060: 0.370
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 3.690
     2030: 3.319
     2060: 0.861
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.799
     2030: 0.814
     2060: 0.897
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 8.472
     2030: 6.089
     2060: 2.392
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,321
     2030: 2,427
     2060: 2,904
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.127
     2030: -0.133
     2060: -0.176
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.383
     2030: -0.387
     2060: -0.444

Economy Forecast for Tajikistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 37.42
     2030: 49.97
     2060: 185.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 13.64
     2030: 19.46
     2060: 114.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 3.668
     2030: 4.303
     2060: 11.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.349
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.403
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 42.49
     2030: 42.77
     2060: 18.57
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 10.77
     2030: 16.52
     2060: 38.64

Energy Forecast for Tajikistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.000
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004

Environment Forecast for Tajikistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Tajikistan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.065
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.104

Domestic Government Forecast for Tajikistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 3.024
     2030: 3.040
     2060: 3.366
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 7.688
     2030: 8.162
     2060: 10.24
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 2.240
     2030: 2.434
     2060: 3.596
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 1.537
     2030: 1.707
     2060: 2.567
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 5.941
     2030: 6.045
     2060: 6.525