Country Profile - Eswatini      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Eswatini
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eswatini -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 1.222
     2030: 1.296
     2060: 1.681
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.969
     2030: 1.137
     2060: 0.510
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 23.34
     2030: 21.62
     2060: 13.19
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.936
     2030: 9.416
     2060: 9.141
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 35.06
     2030: 30.72
     2060: 13.49
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 60.34
     2030: 62.47
     2060: 71.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 55.01
     2030: 56.71
     2060: 64.66
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 65.55
     2030: 68.06
     2060: 78.26
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.741
     2030: 2.502
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 17.09
     2030: 17.09
     2060: 17.09
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.138
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.110
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.413
     2030: 0.404
     2060: 0.334
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.757
     2030: 0.833
     2060: 1.172
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.051
     2030: 0.059
     2060: 0.175
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 0.304
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.507
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.329
     2030: 0.333
     2060: 0.320
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.04
     2030: 48.96
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Eswatini -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 19.45
     2030: 21.21
     2060: 30.87
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 10.41
     2030: 10.79
     2060: 14.89
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 5.235
     2030: 4.532
     2060: 2.301
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 3.839
     2030: 0.761
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 9.155
     2030: 6.150
     2060: 0.319

Education Forecast for Eswatini -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.6
     2030: 105.0
     2060: 100.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 87.85
     2030: 91.03
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 95.76
     2030: 99.33
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 79.95
     2030: 85.57
     2060: 102.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 9.121
     2030: 13.41
     2060: 43.17
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 9.051
     2030: 9.352
     2060: 11.23
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 89.60
     2030: 91.29
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Eswatini
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.370
     2030: 0.345
     2060: 0.104
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.648
     2030: 0.634
     2060: 0.298
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.746
     2030: 0.771
     2060: 0.906
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 12.76
     2030: 10.78
     2060: 2.847
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,604
     2030: 2,723
     2060: 3,275
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.093
     2030: 0.104
     2060: 0.055
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.192
     2030: 0.240
     2060: 0.483

Economy Forecast for Eswatini
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 11.06
     2030: 13.45
     2060: 46.02
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 5.525
     2030: 7.204
     2060: 37.67
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 9.051
     2030: 10.38
     2060: 27.37
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.542
     2030: 0.539
     2060: 0.525
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 50.15
     2030: 48.95
     2060: 16.95
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 10.58
     2030: 14.08
     2060: 42.90

Energy Forecast for Eswatini
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eswatini
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Eswatini
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.031
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.076

Domestic Government Forecast for Eswatini
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 4.043
     2030: 4.137
     2060: 4.662
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 1.484
     2030: 2.077
     2060: 5.916
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.453
     2030: 3.680
     2060: 6.183
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.862
     2030: 2.012
     2060: 2.953
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.103
     2030: 6.176
     2060: 6.677