Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 6.585
     2030: 6.876
     2060: 7.136
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.592
     2030: 0.445
     2060: -0.218
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 17.14
     2030: 15.53
     2060: 11.18
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 6.132
     2030: 6.940
     2060: 9.889
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 8.972
     2030: 6.766
     2060: 2.627
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 76.19
     2030: 77.07
     2060: 80.73
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 71.94
     2030: 72.50
     2060: 76.25
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 79.98
     2030: 81.19
     2060: 84.87
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.935
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.297
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.081
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.567
     2030: 0.534
     2060: 0.403
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 1.716
     2030: 1.615
     2060: 1.230
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 4.280
     2030: 4.519
     2060: 4.423
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.589
     2030: 0.742
     2060: 1.482
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 4.894
     2030: 5.322
     2060: 5.860
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.430
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.400
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 43.26
     2030: 45.01
     2060: 48.39

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 20.44
     2030: 21.80
     2060: 26.92
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 12.89
     2030: 13.36
     2060: 15.92
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 4.663
     2030: 4.187
     2060: 3.264
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.697
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 7.848
     2030: 6.088
     2060: 2.928

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 99.98
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 88.61
     2030: 92.29
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 92.65
     2030: 97.51
     2060: 101.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 60.31
     2030: 67.72
     2060: 83.55
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 30.05
     2030: 34.87
     2060: 49.92
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 7.663
     2030: 8.319
     2060: 10.25
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 89.91
     2030: 92.04
     2060: 98.79

Social/Human Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.659
     2030: 0.515
     2060: 0.090
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 1.349
     2030: 1.128
     2060: 0.280
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.825
     2030: 0.843
     2060: 0.916
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 7.160
     2030: 5.662
     2060: 1.684
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,736
     2030: 2,833
     2060: 3,155
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -1.920
     2030: -1.794
     2060: -1.237
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.510
     2030: 0.549
     2060: 0.614

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 49.70
     2030: 58.11
     2060: 103.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 25.43
     2030: 31.45
     2060: 72.50
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 7.547
     2030: 8.452
     2060: 14.51
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.372
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.355
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 47.88
     2030: 34.77
     2060: 20.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 13.68
     2030: 16.86
     2060: 30.42

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.095
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.102

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 11.25
     2030: 11.70
     2060: 13.11
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 18.20
     2030: 19.18
     2060: 19.65
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 3.483
     2030: 3.767
     2060: 4.867
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.292
     2030: 2.448
     2060: 3.004
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.164
     2030: 7.249
     2060: 7.541