Country Profile - El Salvador      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for El Salvador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for El Salvador -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 6.385
     2030: 6.552
     2060: 6.677
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.410
     2030: 0.408
     2060: -0.303
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 15.12
     2030: 15.11
     2060: 10.68
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 6.405
     2030: 7.026
     2060: 10.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 8.951
     2030: 7.171
     2060: 2.761
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 76.14
     2030: 76.84
     2060: 80.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 71.94
     2030: 72.41
     2060: 76.25
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 79.98
     2030: 80.92
     2060: 84.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.811
     2030: 1.845
     2060: 1.864
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.294
     2030: 0.261
     2060: 0.083
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.458
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.356
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 1.514
     2030: 1.407
     2060: 1.082
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 4.281
     2030: 4.441
     2060: 4.120
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.590
     2030: 0.704
     2060: 1.475
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 4.805
     2030: 5.058
     2060: 5.427
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.441
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.404
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 42.60
     2030: 43.99
     2060: 47.88

Health Forecast for El Salvador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 22.49
     2030: 23.64
     2060: 28.43
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 13.02
     2030: 13.36
     2060: 16.16
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 4.768
     2030: 4.451
     2060: 3.457
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.801
     2030: 0.395
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 6.960
     2030: 5.380
     2060: 1.127

Education Forecast for El Salvador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 100.8
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 89.98
     2030: 93.14
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 93.39
     2030: 98.04
     2060: 102.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 60.08
     2030: 66.72
     2060: 81.91
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 29.18
     2030: 33.31
     2060: 48.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 7.033
     2030: 7.504
     2060: 9.571
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 90.39
     2030: 91.92
     2060: 98.62

Social/Human Forecast for El Salvador
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.092
     2030: 0.085
     2060: 0.024
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.429
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.149
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.837
     2030: 0.851
     2060: 0.922
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 6.851
     2030: 5.795
     2060: 1.894
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,766
     2030: 2,842
     2060: 3,133
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -1.929
     2030: -1.842
     2060: -1.314
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.506
     2030: 0.541
     2060: 0.634

Economy Forecast for El Salvador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 58.62
     2030: 66.40
     2060: 111.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 28.49
     2030: 33.97
     2060: 75.81
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 9.180
     2030: 10.13
     2060: 16.69
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.388
     2030: 0.388
     2060: 0.394
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 52.00
     2030: 50.67
     2060: 21.17
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 12.84
     2030: 16.00
     2060: 29.86

Energy Forecast for El Salvador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.005
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for El Salvador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for El Salvador
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.089
     2030: 0.089
     2060: 0.097

Domestic Government Forecast for El Salvador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 10.22
     2030: 10.57
     2060: 12.07
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.63
     2030: 19.79
     2060: 19.99
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.564
     2030: 3.873
     2060: 5.231
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.135
     2030: 2.289
     2060: 2.906
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.419
     2030: 7.489
     2060: 7.761