Country Profile - Sudan      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Sudan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sudan -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 51.07
     2030: 58.32
     2060: 109.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 2.754
     2030: 2.607
     2060: 1.576
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 32.89
     2030: 31.39
     2060: 20.96
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 5.263
     2030: 5.123
     2060: 5.104
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 41.30
     2030: 35.81
     2060: 16.32
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 70.69
     2030: 71.74
     2060: 76.77
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 69.01
     2030: 69.99
     2060: 74.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 72.38
     2030: 73.51
     2060: 78.90
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 4.397
     2030: 4.214
     2060: 2.790
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.134
     2030: 0.152
     2060: 0.239
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 7.636
     2030: 8.398
     2060: 11.30
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 20.47
     2030: 22.64
     2060: 32.99
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 28.63
     2030: 33.27
     2060: 68.70
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 1.977
     2030: 2.405
     2060: 8.173
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 18.78
     2030: 22.37
     2060: 54.31
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.286
     2030: 0.289
     2060: 0.298
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 31.55
     2030: 32.90
     2060: 39.15

Health Forecast for Sudan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 6.881
     2030: 7.245
     2060: 9.676
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 13.14
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 14.32
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 38.14
     2030: 32.11
     2060: 10.61
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 33.49
     2030: 31.67
     2060: 23.64
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 12.41
     2030: 10.45
     2060: 2.923

Education Forecast for Sudan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 83.95
     2030: 85.20
     2060: 102.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 64.40
     2030: 65.80
     2060: 83.39
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 65.22
     2030: 68.68
     2060: 89.54
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 40.04
     2030: 44.30
     2060: 58.27
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 14.58
     2030: 14.48
     2060: 22.10
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 5.160
     2030: 5.484
     2060: 7.225
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 64.45
     2030: 68.22
     2060: 92.40

Social/Human Forecast for Sudan
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 21.55
     2030: 17.11
     2060: 4.864
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 41.07
     2030: 40.62
     2060: 27.96
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.656
     2030: 0.677
     2060: 0.821
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 28.38
     2030: 24.71
     2060: 7.028
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,555
     2030: 2,615
     2060: 2,939
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.134
     2030: -0.161
     2060: -0.343
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.374
     2030: -0.424
     2060: -0.750

Economy Forecast for Sudan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 147.1
     2030: 177.7
     2060: 634.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 95.42
     2030: 107.6
     2060: 402.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2.881
     2030: 3.047
     2060: 5.771
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.324
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.327
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 34.68
     2030: 32.68
     2060: 33.24
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 10.80
     2030: 11.12
     2060: 16.49

Energy Forecast for Sudan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.039
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.046

Environment Forecast for Sudan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.005
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.028

International Politics Forecast for Sudan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.149
     2030: 0.149
     2060: 0.167

Domestic Government Forecast for Sudan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 3.005
     2030: 3.098
     2060: 3.578
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 6.328
     2030: 6.630
     2060: 8.580
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 1.549
     2030: 1.631
     2060: 2.306
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 0.866
     2030: 0.968
     2060: 1.769
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 4.094
     2030: 4.117
     2060: 4.369