Country Profile - Russian Federation      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Russian Federation
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Russian Federation -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 144.1
     2030: 140.8
     2060: 120.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.363
     2030: -0.429
     2060: -0.652
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.601
     2030: 8.399
     2060: 8.155
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 12.77
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 15.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 4.983
     2030: 4.635
     2060: 3.448
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 73.83
     2030: 74.72
     2060: 79.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 68.58
     2030: 69.42
     2060: 74.17
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 78.41
     2030: 79.35
     2060: 83.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.446
     2030: 1.526
     2060: 1.585
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.650
     2030: 0.581
     2060: 0.190
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 6.759
     2030: 6.004
     2060: 5.032
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 24.89
     2030: 21.10
     2060: 16.62
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 94.09
     2030: 91.43
     2060: 69.15
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 25.16
     2030: 28.22
     2060: 34.94
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 107.6
     2030: 106.7
     2060: 94.40
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.490
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.431
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.57
     2030: 48.57
     2060: 48.57

Health Forecast for Russian Federation -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 25.77
     2030: 26.92
     2060: 29.66
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 40.09
     2030: 40.21
     2060: 38.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 2.273
     2030: 2.103
     2060: 1.693
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.065
     2030: 1.407
     2060: 1.400
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.066

Education Forecast for Russian Federation -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.5
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.98
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 101.2
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 106.2
     2030: 105.2
     2060: 101.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 81.71
     2030: 82.51
     2060: 86.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 10.72
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 12.07
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Russian Federation
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.091
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.012
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.204
     2030: 0.144
     2060: 0.031
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.918
     2030: 0.927
     2060: 0.972
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 2.500
     2030: 2.272
     2060: 1.625
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,414
     2030: 3,491
     2060: 3,667
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.184
     2030: -0.158
     2060: 0.049
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -1.654
     2030: -1.581
     2060: -1.187

Economy Forecast for Russian Federation
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 3,998
     2030: 4,229
     2060: 5,168
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,780
     2030: 2,038
     2060: 3,625
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 27.74
     2030: 30.05
     2060: 42.82
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.358
     2030: 0.359
     2060: 0.353
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 30.84
     2030: 30.02
     2060: 31.43
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 63.51
     2030: 65.30
     2060: 74.19

Energy Forecast for Russian Federation
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 3.250
     2030: 3.057
     2060: 0.899

Environment Forecast for Russian Federation
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.460
     2030: 0.422
     2060: 0.138

International Politics Forecast for Russian Federation
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 4.610
     2030: 4.412
     2060: 4.039

Domestic Government Forecast for Russian Federation
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 3.021
     2030: 3.048
     2060: 3.259
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 14.26
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 15.89
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.338
     2030: 3.769
     2060: 6.263
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.471
     2030: 2.572
     2060: 3.198
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.725
     2030: 6.755
     2060: 7.008