Country Profile - Russian Federation      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Russian Federation
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Russian Federation -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 144.6
     2030: 140.2
     2060: 122.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: -0.211
     2030: -0.423
     2060: -0.489
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 10.71
     2030: 9.512
     2060: 10.10
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 13.87
     2030: 14.50
     2060: 15.72
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 6.382
     2030: 6.046
     2060: 5.533
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 71.92
     2030: 72.93
     2060: 75.92
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 65.90
     2030: 66.76
     2060: 69.66
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 77.13
     2030: 78.24
     2060: 81.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.724
     2030: 1.730
     2060: 1.791
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.554
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.155
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 8.440
     2030: 6.722
     2060: 6.227
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 26.32
     2030: 22.96
     2060: 19.83
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 95.21
     2030: 89.76
     2060: 72.25
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 23.06
     2030: 27.45
     2060: 30.70
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 108.3
     2030: 108.2
     2060: 98.63
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.508
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.460
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 49.57
     2030: 49.94
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Russian Federation -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 25.67
     2030: 26.23
     2060: 26.16
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 40.02
     2030: 39.62
     2060: 38.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.376
     2030: 2.339
     2060: 1.928
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.386
     2030: 1.972
     2060: 2.362
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.115
     2030: 1.927
     2060: 1.704

Education Forecast for Russian Federation -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 99.53
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 99.04
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 99.25
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.40
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 105.6
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 98.14
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 80.05
     2030: 78.04
     2060: 80.26
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.31
     2030: 11.58
     2060: 12.32
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Russian Federation
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.013
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.901
     2030: 0.909
     2060: 0.927
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.903
     2030: 2.789
     2060: 2.097
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,399
     2030: 3,435
     2060: 3,433
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.179
     2030: -0.140
     2060: 0.083
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.634
     2030: -1.527
     2060: -1.155

Economy Forecast for Russian Federation
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3,571
     2030: 3,644
     2060: 3,291
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 2,235
     2030: 2,409
     2060: 2,511
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 24.70
     2030: 26.00
     2060: 26.81
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.371
     2030: 0.376
     2060: 0.365
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 26.72
     2030: 25.46
     2060: 26.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 58.91
     2030: 57.58
     2060: 64.75

Energy Forecast for Russian Federation
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 3.903
     2030: 3.889
     2060: 2.588

Environment Forecast for Russian Federation
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.433
     2030: 0.364
     2060: 0.148

International Politics Forecast for Russian Federation
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 3.263
     2030: 2.589
     2060: 1.322

Domestic Government Forecast for Russian Federation
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 4.028
     2030: 4.054
     2060: 4.189
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 14.65
     2030: 14.64
     2060: 15.29
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.717
     2030: 3.142
     2060: 4.198
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.378
     2030: 2.455
     2060: 2.546
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.528
     2030: 6.508
     2060: 6.313