Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.78
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 8.728
     2030: 8.337
     2060: 6.634
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: -0.418
     2030: -0.584
     2060: -0.909
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 9.745
     2030: 9.169
     2060: 8.450
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 13.18
     2030: 13.60
     2060: 15.94
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 4.122
     2030: 3.544
     2060: 2.463
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 76.37
     2030: 77.45
     2060: 80.70
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.42
     2030: 74.43
     2060: 77.63
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 79.20
     2030: 80.34
     2060: 83.66
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.514
     2030: 1.547
     2060: 1.670
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.029
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.424
     2030: 0.394
     2060: 0.287
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 1.363
     2030: 1.224
     2060: 0.889
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.728
     2030: 5.378
     2060: 3.849
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 1.637
     2030: 1.734
     2060: 1.895
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 3.923
     2030: 3.874
     2060: 3.418
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.362
     2030: 0.362
     2060: 0.340
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 45.62
     2030: 47.36
     2060: 49.51

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 28.74
     2030: 31.68
     2060: 38.84
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 41.09
     2030: 41.12
     2060: 37.74
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.925
     2030: 1.754
     2060: 1.494
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.181
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 3.585
     2030: 2.547
     2060: 1.347

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.2
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 97.69
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 100.8
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 99.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 91.33
     2030: 96.47
     2060: 98.48
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 67.57
     2030: 72.39
     2060: 78.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.12
     2030: 11.51
     2060: 12.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 99.17
     2030: 99.77
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.034
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.222
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.901
     2030: 0.919
     2060: 0.964
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.142
     2030: 0.916
     2060: 0.685
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,881
     2030: 3,038
     2060: 3,382
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.237
     2030: -1.143
     2060: -1.069
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.852
     2030: 0.969
     2060: 1.199

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 145.7
     2030: 169.0
     2060: 214.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 61.15
     2030: 81.85
     2060: 152.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 16.69
     2030: 20.28
     2060: 32.32
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.361
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.348
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 58.64
     2030: 56.17
     2060: 56.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 32.54
     2030: 39.66
     2060: 54.13

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.010
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.027

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.011
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.177
     2030: 0.175
     2060: 0.171

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 11.16
     2030: 11.46
     2060: 12.25
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 18.16
     2030: 18.60
     2060: 19.50
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.567
     2030: 4.212
     2060: 6.292
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.688
     2030: 2.892
     2060: 3.431
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.933
     2030: 7.036
     2060: 7.266