Country Profile - Qatar      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Qatar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Qatar -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 3.048
     2030: 3.359
     2060: 3.883
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.629
     2030: 1.150
     2060: -0.274
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 8.980
     2030: 8.314
     2060: 8.810
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 1.781
     2030: 2.711
     2060: 14.61
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 5.695
     2030: 4.802
     2060: 3.141
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 80.03
     2030: 80.86
     2060: 82.64
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 79.26
     2030: 79.99
     2060: 81.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 82.11
     2030: 82.92
     2060: 84.61
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.875
     2030: 1.888
     2060: 1.892
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.017
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.005
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 0.142
     2030: 0.142
     2060: 0.172
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 0.442
     2030: 0.458
     2060: 0.534
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 2.537
     2030: 2.724
     2060: 1.859
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.070
     2030: 0.177
     2060: 1.490
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 3.012
     2030: 3.328
     2060: 3.801
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.755
     2030: 0.737
     2060: 0.504
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 15.27
     2030: 17.11
     2060: 23.10

Health Forecast for Qatar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 28.36
     2030: 29.88
     2060: 30.16
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 20.53
     2030: 20.29
     2060: 19.50
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 4.612
     2030: 4.254
     2060: 3.887
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 3.893
     2030: 3.594
     2060: 4.546
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 1.909
     2030: 1.559
     2060: 2.379

Education Forecast for Qatar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 101.8
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 98.04
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 99.77
     2030: 99.06
     2060: 98.83
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 93.50
     2030: 96.77
     2060: 96.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 32.43
     2030: 38.17
     2060: 50.67
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 8.540
     2030: 8.790
     2060: 10.51
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 94.29
     2030: 95.24
     2060: 99.94

Social/Human Forecast for Qatar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 4.099
     2030: 3.458
     2060: 2.084
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,563
     2030: 3,626
     2060: 3,577
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.719
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 0.637
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 1.805
     2030: 1.792
     2060: 1.497

Economy Forecast for Qatar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 361.0
     2030: 422.7
     2060: 393.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 219.8
     2030: 265.1
     2060: 283.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 118.4
     2030: 125.8
     2060: 101.3
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.396
     2030: 0.390
     2060: 0.367
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 35.68
     2030: 34.77
     2060: 35.42
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 13.08
     2030: 18.74
     2060: 30.31

Energy Forecast for Qatar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.186
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.181

Environment Forecast for Qatar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.028
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.028

International Politics Forecast for Qatar
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.363
     2030: 0.368
     2060: 0.251

Domestic Government Forecast for Qatar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 5.009
     2030: 5.092
     2060: 5.463
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 1.859
     2030: 2.691
     2060: 5.791
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 5.942
     2030: 7.633
     2060: 8.139
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 3.243
     2030: 3.337
     2060: 3.153
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.017
     2030: 7.044
     2060: 6.715