Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 38.30
     2030: 37.67
     2060: 31.46
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.180
     2030: -0.404
     2060: -0.731
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.795
     2030: 8.284
     2060: 7.881
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 11.43
     2030: 12.06
     2060: 14.87
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.618
     2030: 3.310
     2060: 2.134
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 78.59
     2030: 79.47
     2060: 83.84
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 74.49
     2030: 75.34
     2060: 79.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 82.43
     2030: 83.33
     2060: 87.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.461
     2030: 1.495
     2060: 1.633
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.085
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.025
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.988
     2030: 1.692
     2060: 1.291
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 5.885
     2030: 5.582
     2060: 4.109
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 24.51
     2030: 23.66
     2060: 16.91
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 7.911
     2030: 8.427
     2060: 10.45
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 22.77
     2030: 22.64
     2060: 20.10
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.467
     2030: 0.463
     2060: 0.415
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 46.15
     2030: 47.31
     2060: 49.55

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 23.54
     2030: 24.66
     2060: 27.64
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 29.05
     2030: 28.48
     2060: 26.07
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.957
     2030: 1.868
     2060: 1.679
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.916
     2030: 1.054
     2060: 1.850
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.067
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.007

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 102.2
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.43
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 102.8
     2030: 105.1
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 111.6
     2030: 111.3
     2060: 102.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 69.56
     2030: 71.92
     2060: 83.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.75
     2030: 11.98
     2060: 13.27
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 99.13
     2030: 99.53
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.034
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.051
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.953
     2030: 0.967
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.059
     2030: 0.934
     2060: 0.711
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,559
     2030: 3,633
     2060: 3,822
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.095
     2030: 0.145
     2060: 0.447
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.375
     2030: -0.289
     2060: 0.127

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,319
     2030: 1,481
     2060: 2,436
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 655.1
     2030: 809.8
     2060: 1,720
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 34.45
     2030: 39.32
     2060: 77.41
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.288
     2030: 0.286
     2060: 0.271
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 35.32
     2030: 34.85
     2060: 38.77
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 53.98
     2030: 58.73
     2060: 69.64

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.007
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.004

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.092
     2030: 0.095
     2060: 0.088

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.645
     2030: 0.679
     2060: 0.778

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 12.08
     2030: 12.24
     2060: 13.21
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.96
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.126
     2030: 6.806
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.120
     2030: 3.254
     2060: 3.935
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.227
     2030: 7.291
     2060: 7.620