Country Profile - Poland      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Poland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Poland -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 37.95
     2030: 37.28
     2060: 31.30
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: -0.094
     2030: -0.367
     2060: -0.741
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 9.948
     2030: 8.216
     2060: 7.901
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 10.67
     2030: 11.61
     2060: 14.96
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 3.518
     2030: 3.159
     2060: 2.167
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 78.67
     2030: 79.76
     2060: 83.73
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 74.59
     2030: 75.63
     2060: 79.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 82.51
     2030: 83.63
     2060: 87.47
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.535
     2030: 1.539
     2060: 1.665
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.087
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.025
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.987
     2030: 1.624
     2060: 1.282
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 5.855
     2030: 5.392
     2060: 4.086
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 25.01
     2030: 23.50
     2060: 16.76
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 7.084
     2030: 8.386
     2060: 10.45
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 22.82
     2030: 22.65
     2060: 20.11
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.475
     2030: 0.462
     2060: 0.413
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 45.88
     2030: 47.38
     2060: 49.52

Health Forecast for Poland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 23.85
     2030: 24.99
     2060: 26.60
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 29.12
     2030: 28.67
     2060: 25.91
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.922
     2030: 1.834
     2060: 1.746
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.900
     2030: 0.985
     2060: 2.293
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.078
     2030: 1.703
     2060: 1.100

Education Forecast for Poland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 102.0
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 98.26
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 103.1
     2030: 106.0
     2060: 100.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 111.6
     2030: 111.1
     2060: 102.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 69.50
     2030: 72.86
     2060: 80.66
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 11.78
     2030: 12.11
     2060: 13.36
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 99.13
     2030: 99.66
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Poland
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.022
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.022
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.946
     2030: 0.963
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 1.063
     2030: 0.903
     2060: 0.727
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,585
     2030: 3,661
     2060: 3,764
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.095
     2030: 0.155
     2060: 0.451
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.373
     2030: -0.272
     2060: 0.133

Economy Forecast for Poland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 1,146
     2030: 1,318
     2060: 1,971
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 746.6
     2030: 955.0
     2060: 1,647
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 30.20
     2030: 35.35
     2060: 62.98
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.295
     2030: 0.295
     2060: 0.281
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 29.47
     2030: 31.52
     2060: 36.00
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 55.08
     2030: 59.14
     2060: 68.63

Energy Forecast for Poland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.009
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Poland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.083
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.063

International Politics Forecast for Poland
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.688
     2030: 0.730
     2060: 0.728

Domestic Government Forecast for Poland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 13.22
     2030: 13.46
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.96
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 5.928
     2030: 6.663
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 3.287
     2030: 3.434
     2060: 3.974
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.290
     2030: 7.369
     2060: 7.656