Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 8.06
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 117.8
     2030: 126.4
     2060: 153.3
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.251
     2030: 1.071
     2060: 0.339
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 19.58
     2030: 18.09
     2060: 12.84
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 6.500
     2030: 6.799
     2060: 8.991
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 18.80
     2030: 16.31
     2060: 8.312
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 71.08
     2030: 72.16
     2060: 77.42
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 67.43
     2030: 68.41
     2060: 73.57
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 74.81
     2030: 75.97
     2060: 81.21
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.658
     2030: 2.419
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.079
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.208
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 11.11
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 9.806
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 34.19
     2030: 33.71
     2060: 29.33
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 76.56
     2030: 83.59
     2060: 101.4
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 7.047
     2030: 9.056
     2060: 22.51
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 57.75
     2030: 64.75
     2060: 94.44
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.410
     2030: 0.411
     2060: 0.398
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 40.24
     2030: 41.71
     2060: 46.33

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 6.010
     2030: 6.584
     2060: 9.440
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 27.16
     2030: 27.29
     2060: 29.20
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 22.51
     2030: 19.54
     2060: 9.865
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 23.56
     2030: 22.07
     2060: 17.90
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 4.502
     2030: 3.153
     2060: 0.249

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 107.2
     2030: 103.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.14
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 92.16
     2030: 94.58
     2060: 98.36
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 72.06
     2030: 76.09
     2060: 90.05
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 35.61
     2030: 38.30
     2060: 55.37
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 9.520
     2030: 9.875
     2060: 11.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 97.01
     2030: 97.76
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 3.645
     2030: 3.255
     2060: 0.357
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 21.22
     2030: 20.30
     2060: 4.953
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.830
     2030: 0.846
     2060: 0.922
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 9.216
     2030: 7.970
     2060: 3.703
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,856
     2030: 2,946
     2060: 3,312
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -1.327
     2030: -1.249
     2060: -0.699
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.134
     2030: -0.057
     2060: 0.399

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,057
     2030: 1,299
     2060: 3,241
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 428.0
     2030: 574.7
     2060: 2,224
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 8.975
     2030: 10.28
     2060: 21.15
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.414
     2030: 0.413
     2060: 0.403
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 23.60
     2030: 18.54
     2060: 21.10
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 26.47
     2030: 28.92
     2060: 43.99

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.052
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.093

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.274
     2030: 0.306
     2060: 0.644

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 9.109
     2030: 9.316
     2060: 10.32
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.24
     2030: 18.69
     2060: 19.80
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.510
     2030: 3.766
     2060: 5.537
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.611
     2030: 2.734
     2060: 3.337
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.454
     2030: 7.550
     2060: 8.025