Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 120.9
     2030: 129.1
     2060: 157.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 1.400
     2030: 1.191
     2060: 0.283
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 20.49
     2030: 18.73
     2060: 11.74
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 5.915
     2030: 6.236
     2060: 8.463
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 14.90
     2030: 13.31
     2060: 6.785
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 72.84
     2030: 73.67
     2060: 78.94
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 69.70
     2030: 70.47
     2060: 75.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 76.07
     2030: 76.95
     2060: 82.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 2.604
     2030: 2.409
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.078
     2030: 0.097
     2060: 0.208
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 12.18
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 9.294
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 35.39
     2030: 35.80
     2060: 28.41
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 78.00
     2030: 83.88
     2060: 105.6
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 7.558
     2030: 9.427
     2060: 23.91
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 59.07
     2030: 65.12
     2060: 95.86
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.379
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.369
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 40.02
     2030: 41.26
     2060: 46.07

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 6.151
     2030: 6.683
     2060: 9.709
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 27.27
     2030: 27.47
     2060: 29.60
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 22.36
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 10.09
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 24.11
     2030: 23.00
     2060: 19.47
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 3.952
     2030: 2.935
     2060: 0.308

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 107.5
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 99.34
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 97.95
     2030: 99.25
     2060: 99.83
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 77.96
     2030: 80.61
     2060: 90.72
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 36.44
     2030: 38.05
     2060: 50.72
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 9.503
     2030: 9.684
     2060: 10.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 97.00
     2030: 97.67
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 6.683
     2030: 6.208
     2060: 0.603
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 32.02
     2030: 31.38
     2060: 6.938
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.839
     2030: 0.852
     2060: 0.933
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 8.866
     2030: 7.814
     2060: 3.723
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,894
     2030: 2,977
     2060: 3,360
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.317
     2030: -1.251
     2060: -0.689
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.114
     2030: -0.046
     2060: 0.436

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 1,075
     2030: 1,290
     2060: 3,500
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 453.9
     2030: 587.2
     2060: 2,526
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 8.892
     2030: 9.995
     2060: 22.17
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.411
     2030: 0.411
     2060: 0.413
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 20.31
     2030: 19.61
     2060: 22.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 27.93
     2030: 29.07
     2060: 41.46

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.050
     2030: 0.061
     2060: 0.093

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.293
     2030: 0.328
     2060: 0.759

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 9.137
     2030: 9.288
     2060: 10.15
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 18.31
     2030: 18.71
     2060: 19.78
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.610
     2030: 3.824
     2060: 5.694
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 2.688
     2030: 2.789
     2060: 3.412
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.516
     2030: 7.601
     2060: 8.122