Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.78
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 111.2
     2030: 124.4
     2060: 150.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 1.343
     2030: 1.090
     2060: 0.299
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 19.98
     2030: 18.05
     2060: 12.67
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 6.149
     2030: 6.616
     2060: 9.216
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 19.65
     2030: 16.42
     2060: 10.01
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 70.84
     2030: 72.35
     2060: 76.82
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 67.17
     2030: 68.54
     2060: 72.85
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 74.54
     2030: 76.18
     2060: 80.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 2.484
     2030: 2.244
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.078
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.210
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 11.04
     2030: 11.10
     2060: 9.561
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 33.74
     2030: 32.97
     2060: 28.87
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 71.67
     2030: 82.66
     2060: 99.93
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 5.810
     2030: 8.745
     2060: 21.94
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 52.88
     2030: 61.71
     2060: 87.46
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.411
     2030: 0.412
     2060: 0.397
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 39.37
     2030: 41.57
     2060: 46.11

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 4.461
     2030: 5.049
     2060: 6.903
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 27.02
     2030: 27.12
     2060: 28.24
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 18.42
     2030: 15.91
     2060: 9.299
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 19.08
     2030: 17.72
     2060: 14.11
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 13.59
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 4.995

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 104.6
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.86
     2030: 98.48
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 91.80
     2030: 92.11
     2060: 97.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 74.23
     2030: 78.43
     2060: 92.62
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 35.47
     2030: 37.32
     2060: 46.59
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 9.018
     2030: 9.542
     2060: 10.58
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 98.76
     2030: 99.73
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 13.29
     2030: 14.18
     2060: 8.358
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 26.05
     2030: 27.31
     2060: 17.66
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.822
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.901
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 8.132
     2030: 7.167
     2060: 4.170
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,698
     2030: 2,802
     2060: 3,072
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.338
     2030: -1.222
     2060: -0.705
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.149
     2030: -0.045
     2060: 0.329

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 809.3
     2030: 1,103
     2060: 2,315
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 364.8
     2030: 528.2
     2060: 1,513
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 7.276
     2030: 8.870
     2060: 15.36
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.444
     2030: 0.463
     2060: 0.489
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 35.59
     2030: 14.03
     2060: 21.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 24.05
     2030: 26.66
     2060: 35.42

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.007
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.035
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.067

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.293
     2030: 0.314
     2060: 0.478

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 10.10
     2030: 10.44
     2060: 11.26
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 18.09
     2030: 18.71
     2060: 19.60
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.629
     2030: 3.015
     2060: 4.361
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.484
     2030: 2.663
     2060: 3.150
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.305
     2030: 7.446
     2060: 7.811