Country Profile - Philippines      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Philippines
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Philippines -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 112.6
     2030: 124.1
     2060: 150.3
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.322
     2030: 1.078
     2060: 0.302
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 19.94
     2030: 17.95
     2060: 12.61
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 6.171
     2030: 6.580
     2060: 9.137
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 18.82
     2030: 15.77
     2060: 9.037
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 71.07
     2030: 72.46
     2060: 77.13
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 67.39
     2030: 68.66
     2060: 73.19
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 74.79
     2030: 76.28
     2060: 80.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 2.475
     2030: 2.232
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.081
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.210
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 10.81
     2030: 11.03
     2060: 9.492
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 33.68
     2030: 32.87
     2060: 28.72
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 72.87
     2030: 82.52
     2060: 99.55
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 6.086
     2030: 8.739
     2060: 22.04
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 53.84
     2030: 61.69
     2060: 87.42
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.408
     2030: 0.408
     2060: 0.394
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 39.61
     2030: 41.55
     2060: 46.09

Health Forecast for Philippines -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 4.645
     2030: 5.310
     2060: 7.706
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 27.04
     2030: 27.22
     2060: 28.57
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 17.77
     2030: 15.21
     2060: 8.097
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 18.64
     2030: 17.04
     2060: 13.27
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 9.224
     2030: 6.372
     2060: 1.379

Education Forecast for Philippines -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 103.9
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 97.23
     2030: 98.62
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 92.48
     2030: 93.09
     2060: 97.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 74.82
     2030: 80.56
     2060: 93.67
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 35.59
     2030: 38.33
     2060: 52.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 9.040
     2030: 9.501
     2060: 10.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 97.09
     2030: 98.09
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Philippines
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 11.62
     2030: 8.907
     2060: 2.472
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 23.69
     2030: 19.37
     2060: 7.019
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.823
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.909
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 7.815
     2030: 6.674
     2060: 3.245
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,731
     2030: 2,844
     2060: 3,173
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -1.325
     2030: -1.216
     2060: -0.686
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.134
     2030: -0.033
     2060: 0.368

Economy Forecast for Philippines
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 902.1
     2030: 1,196
     2060: 2,592
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 397.3
     2030: 566.8
     2060: 1,731
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 8.009
     2030: 9.638
     2060: 17.25
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.422
     2030: 0.428
     2060: 0.424
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 29.73
     2030: 19.05
     2060: 21.76
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 24.80
     2030: 27.68
     2060: 39.94

Energy Forecast for Philippines
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.004
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Philippines
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.044
     2030: 0.062
     2060: 0.084

International Politics Forecast for Philippines
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.289
     2030: 0.322
     2060: 0.535

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 10.13
     2030: 10.44
     2060: 11.38
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 18.20
     2030: 18.92
     2060: 19.80
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 3.469
     2030: 3.807
     2060: 5.144
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.489
     2030: 2.662
     2060: 3.189
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.326
     2030: 7.458
     2060: 7.840