Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 9.086
     2030: 10.61
     2060: 14.62
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 1.839
     2030: 1.583
     2060: 0.571
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 27.36
     2030: 24.42
     2060: 14.86
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.960
     2030: 8.584
     2060: 9.144
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 36.63
     2030: 27.98
     2060: 12.22
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 61.92
     2030: 64.12
     2060: 70.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 60.33
     2030: 62.12
     2060: 67.31
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 63.57
     2030: 66.20
     2060: 72.75
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 3.583
     2030: 3.148
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.587
     2030: 0.630
     2060: 0.648
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.159
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 1.085
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 3.209
     2030: 3.541
     2060: 3.393
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.529
     2030: 6.582
     2060: 9.989
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.348
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 1.234
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.199
     2030: 1.447
     2060: 2.572
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.298
     2030: 0.295
     2060: 0.285
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 48.54
     2030: 48.54
     2060: 48.54

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 4.195
     2030: 4.997
     2060: 8.154
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 40.76
     2030: 39.79
     2060: 37.83
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 24.17
     2030: 18.70
     2060: 6.744
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 24.14
     2030: 18.87
     2060: 6.890
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 16.03
     2030: 11.79
     2060: 4.386

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 107.5
     2030: 107.9
     2060: 103.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 80.86
     2030: 85.10
     2060: 97.87
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 80.51
     2030: 85.02
     2060: 97.10
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 41.63
     2030: 52.99
     2060: 79.16
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 16.33
     2030: 22.08
     2060: 42.85
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 4.677
     2030: 5.355
     2060: 8.080
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 65.22
     2030: 78.56
     2060: 98.39

Social/Human Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 1.159
     2030: 0.638
     2060: 0.118
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 2.236
     2030: 1.411
     2060: 0.367
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.626
     2030: 0.694
     2060: 0.835
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 33.19
     2030: 25.29
     2060: 10.49
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,500
     2030: 2,617
     2060: 2,991
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.068
     2030: -0.026
     2060: 0.149
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.250
     2030: -0.168
     2060: 0.176

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 35.12
     2030: 50.20
     2060: 146.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 26.86
     2030: 38.05
     2060: 128.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.865
     2030: 4.732
     2060: 10.05
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.415
     2030: 0.423
     2060: 0.418
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 37.53
     2030: 39.25
     2060: 14.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 7.993
     2030: 11.44
     2060: 27.00

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.050
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.021

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.044
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.069

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 9.343
     2030: 9.963
     2060: 12.42
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 14.90
     2030: 15.02
     2060: 15.89
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.173
     2030: 2.449
     2060: 3.402
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.924
     2030: 2.121
     2060: 2.672
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.218
     2030: 6.379
     2060: 6.693