Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 10.12
     2030: 11.13
     2060: 14.14
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.433
     2030: 1.265
     2060: 0.394
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 23.15
     2030: 21.46
     2060: 14.14
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 8.742
     2030: 8.732
     2060: 10.15
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 36.62
     2030: 28.43
     2060: 10.44
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 61.71
     2030: 63.58
     2060: 69.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 60.24
     2030: 61.76
     2060: 67.33
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 63.28
     2030: 65.50
     2060: 72.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 3.184
     2030: 2.907
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.523
     2030: 0.554
     2060: 0.636
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.125
     2030: 1.152
     2060: 0.982
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 3.388
     2030: 3.391
     2060: 3.018
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 6.388
     2030: 7.255
     2060: 9.730
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.341
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 1.388
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 1.415
     2030: 1.712
     2060: 3.481
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.310
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.297
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 48.62
     2030: 49.46
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 4.186
     2030: 5.095
     2060: 10.21
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 41.12
     2030: 40.35
     2060: 38.61
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 26.76
     2030: 19.81
     2060: 4.809
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 25.35
     2030: 20.11
     2060: 5.474
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 19.15
     2030: 13.70
     2060: 1.627

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 110.7
     2030: 110.2
     2060: 103.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 82.64
     2030: 86.32
     2060: 97.47
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 78.65
     2030: 85.17
     2060: 97.31
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 38.70
     2030: 50.39
     2060: 78.29
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 15.24
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 40.55
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 4.761
     2030: 5.310
     2060: 8.215
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 63.83
     2030: 72.75
     2060: 97.93

Social/Human Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2023: 3.477
     2030: 2.758
     2060: 0.323
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2023: 6.155
     2030: 5.555
     2060: 1.335
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.621
     2030: 0.670
     2060: 0.840
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 33.27
     2030: 26.27
     2060: 7.412
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,317
     2030: 2,446
     2060: 2,991
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.074
     2030: -0.039
     2060: 0.143
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.260
     2030: -0.193
     2060: 0.163

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2023: 39.96
     2030: 51.18
     2060: 162.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2023: 24.95
     2030: 32.94
     2060: 135.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 3.950
     2030: 4.599
     2060: 11.49
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.419
     2030: 0.418
     2060: 0.415
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 34.07
     2030: 34.79
     2060: 10.31
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 7.828
     2030: 10.39
     2060: 25.96

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.011
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.024

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.043
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.097

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 9.159
     2030: 9.681
     2060: 12.27
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 15.13
     2030: 15.46
     2060: 17.38
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 2.826
     2030: 2.968
     2060: 4.074
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 1.744
     2030: 1.902
     2060: 2.659
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 6.238
     2030: 6.321
     2060: 6.720