Country Profile - Papua New Guinea      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Papua New Guinea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 9.217
     2030: 10.51
     2060: 14.48
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.730
     2030: 1.553
     2060: 0.551
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 26.23
     2030: 24.23
     2060: 14.84
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 8.879
     2030: 8.646
     2060: 9.271
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 35.97
     2030: 28.48
     2060: 13.18
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 61.90
     2030: 63.85
     2060: 69.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 60.38
     2030: 61.96
     2060: 67.02
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 63.48
     2030: 65.82
     2060: 72.39
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 3.421
     2030: 3.083
     2060: 1.916
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.597
     2030: 0.636
     2060: 0.648
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.127
     2030: 1.216
     2060: 1.091
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 3.235
     2030: 3.436
     2060: 3.402
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 5.634
     2030: 6.606
     2060: 9.859
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.348
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 1.218
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 1.242
     2030: 1.489
     2060: 2.770
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.300
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.287
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 48.51
     2030: 48.51
     2060: 48.51

Health Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 2.946
     2030: 3.562
     2060: 6.359
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 40.86
     2030: 40.00
     2060: 37.83
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 25.15
     2030: 19.31
     2060: 7.171
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 25.01
     2030: 20.45
     2060: 8.994
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 16.51
     2030: 12.58
     2060: 4.760

Education Forecast for Papua New Guinea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 107.7
     2030: 108.2
     2060: 104.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 80.20
     2030: 83.68
     2060: 95.55
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 78.33
     2030: 82.90
     2060: 93.82
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 39.26
     2030: 49.13
     2060: 71.43
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 15.55
     2030: 19.89
     2060: 34.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 4.676
     2030: 5.214
     2060: 7.521
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 64.39
     2030: 75.62
     2060: 97.70

Social/Human Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 1.764
     2030: 0.893
     2060: 0.241
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 3.081
     2030: 1.837
     2060: 0.649
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.625
     2030: 0.681
     2060: 0.826
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 32.93
     2030: 25.95
     2060: 10.92
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,511
     2030: 2,618
     2060: 3,001
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.065
     2030: -0.027
     2060: 0.124
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.240
     2030: -0.169
     2060: 0.129

Economy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 36.70
     2030: 48.68
     2060: 133.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 27.59
     2030: 35.83
     2060: 108.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 3.982
     2030: 4.630
     2060: 9.231
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.418
     2030: 0.425
     2060: 0.431
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 37.76
     2030: 39.69
     2060: 26.94
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 7.848
     2030: 10.25
     2060: 21.64

Energy Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.010
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.038

Environment Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.047
     2030: 0.060
     2060: 0.092

Domestic Government Forecast for Papua New Guinea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 10.29
     2030: 10.84
     2060: 13.20
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 14.91
     2030: 14.96
     2060: 15.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.218
     2030: 2.394
     2060: 3.249
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 1.814
     2030: 1.971
     2060: 2.488
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 6.371
     2030: 6.467
     2060: 6.703