Country Profile - Oman      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Oman
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Oman -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 4.940
     2030: 5.382
     2060: 6.469
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.564
     2030: 1.163
     2060: -0.045
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 16.79
     2030: 14.44
     2060: 11.49
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 3.454
     2030: 3.993
     2060: 12.51
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 8.123
     2030: 7.717
     2060: 6.603
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 74.19
     2030: 74.78
     2060: 77.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 73.24
     2030: 73.74
     2060: 76.20
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 75.69
     2030: 76.35
     2060: 79.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.557
     2030: 2.463
     2060: 1.893
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.050
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.427
     2030: 0.400
     2060: 0.386
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 1.287
     2030: 1.290
     2060: 1.216
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 3.498
     2030: 3.872
     2060: 3.750
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.155
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 1.503
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 4.048
     2030: 4.295
     2060: 5.096
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.485
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.396
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 16.33
     2030: 17.96
     2060: 24.23

Health Forecast for Oman -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 16.54
     2030: 17.45
     2060: 19.34
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 12.46
     2030: 12.29
     2060: 11.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 11.94
     2030: 10.93
     2060: 7.815
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 11.76
     2030: 11.26
     2060: 9.615
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.611
     2030: 2.066
     2060: 0.953

Education Forecast for Oman -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.3
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 98.00
     2030: 99.78
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 96.95
     2030: 97.75
     2060: 98.82
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 92.20
     2030: 92.80
     2060: 92.89
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 42.01
     2030: 42.79
     2060: 48.72
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 10.17
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 11.05
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 96.37
     2030: 97.38
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Oman
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.010
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.098
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.030
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.916
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 0.948
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 4.625
     2030: 4.188
     2060: 3.154
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,324
     2030: 3,386
     2060: 3,478
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.410
     2030: 0.423
     2060: 0.297
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.986
     2030: 0.971
     2060: 0.615

Economy Forecast for Oman
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 159.5
     2030: 177.2
     2060: 212.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 86.25
     2030: 99.67
     2060: 142.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 32.30
     2030: 32.93
     2060: 32.84
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.353
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.341
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 36.62
     2030: 33.69
     2060: 27.66
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 49.46
     2030: 50.30
     2060: 55.56

Energy Forecast for Oman
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.300
     2030: 0.304
     2060: 0.201

Environment Forecast for Oman
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.019
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.015

International Politics Forecast for Oman
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.198
     2030: 0.189
     2060: 0.133

Domestic Government Forecast for Oman
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 5.012
     2030: 5.051
     2060: 5.238
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 2.605
     2030: 3.218
     2060: 6.281
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 5.477
     2030: 5.658
     2060: 6.070
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.627
     2030: 2.652
     2060: 2.827
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.680
     2030: 6.665
     2060: 6.638