Country Profile - New Zealand      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for New Zealand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for New Zealand -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 5.124
     2030: 5.311
     2060: 5.788
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.615
     2030: 0.544
     2060: 0.133
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 11.46
     2030: 11.51
     2060: 10.15
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.685
     2030: 8.375
     2060: 10.93
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.219
     2030: 2.662
     2060: 1.207
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 82.07
     2030: 82.75
     2060: 85.67
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 80.01
     2030: 80.64
     2060: 83.46
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 84.09
     2030: 84.81
     2060: 87.84
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.676
     2030: 1.742
     2060: 1.796
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.070
     2030: 0.062
     2060: 0.020
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.288
     2030: 0.305
     2060: 0.294
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.934
     2030: 0.910
     2060: 0.901
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 3.309
     2030: 3.359
     2060: 3.401
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.882
     2030: 1.042
     2060: 1.486
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 4.663
     2030: 4.887
     2060: 5.325
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.566
     2030: 0.554
     2060: 0.520
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.73
     2030: 49.42
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for New Zealand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 51.58
     2030: 53.68
     2060: 59.94
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 16.91
     2030: 16.53
     2060: 16.23
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 3.918
     2030: 3.655
     2060: 2.873
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 4.389
     2030: 4.351
     2060: 4.844
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.264
     2030: 0.131
     2060: 0.075

Education Forecast for New Zealand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 100.5
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.78
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 102.1
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 123.9
     2030: 118.6
     2060: 103.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 81.34
     2030: 82.40
     2060: 83.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.12
     2030: 11.81
     2060: 14.67
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for New Zealand
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.989
     2030: 0.997
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.506
     2030: 1.398
     2060: 1.077
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,288
     2030: 3,366
     2060: 3,586
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.232
     2030: 1.217
     2060: 1.134
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.868
     2030: 1.948
     2060: 2.267

Economy Forecast for New Zealand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 225.0
     2030: 252.0
     2060: 388.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 233.4
     2030: 260.7
     2060: 397.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 43.92
     2030: 47.44
     2060: 67.16
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.358
     2030: 0.354
     2060: 0.337
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 44.02
     2030: 39.96
     2060: 34.05
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 57.75
     2030: 59.58
     2060: 62.64

Energy Forecast for New Zealand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for New Zealand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.008
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.237
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.190

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 8.944
     2030: 9.434
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 4.187
     2030: 4.228
     2060: 4.405
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.581
     2030: 8.624
     2060: 8.814