Country Profile - New Zealand      IFs Version 7.58
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for New Zealand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for New Zealand -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 4.801
     2030: 5.026
     2060: 5.527
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.572
     2030: 0.462
     2060: 0.222
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.39
     2030: 11.81
     2060: 10.89
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.535
     2030: 8.602
     2060: 10.70
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 3.478
     2030: 2.681
     2060: 1.259
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 82.21
     2030: 83.12
     2060: 85.95
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 80.13
     2030: 80.97
     2060: 83.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 84.23
     2030: 85.21
     2060: 88.16
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.889
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.063
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.018
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.301
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.301
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.929
     2030: 0.903
     2060: 0.912
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 3.061
     2030: 3.083
     2060: 3.261
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.810
     2030: 1.040
     2060: 1.354
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 4.350
     2030: 4.624
     2060: 5.085
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.538
     2030: 0.519
     2060: 0.500
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 48.62
     2030: 49.51
     2060: 49.98

Health Forecast for New Zealand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 52.14
     2030: 54.41
     2060: 58.34
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 16.78
     2030: 16.42
     2060: 15.65
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 4.679
     2030: 4.305
     2060: 3.402
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 5.517
     2030: 5.212
     2060: 6.109
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.991
     2030: 1.685
     2060: 1.224

Education Forecast for New Zealand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.4
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 97.80
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.4
     2030: 104.3
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 121.7
     2030: 117.0
     2060: 103.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 81.22
     2030: 81.24
     2060: 82.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.57
     2030: 12.48
     2060: 14.87
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for New Zealand
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.982
     2030: 0.992
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.778
     2030: 1.729
     2060: 1.275
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,240
     2030: 3,322
     2060: 3,462
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.233
     2030: 1.205
     2060: 1.116
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.847
     2030: 1.960
     2060: 2.311

Economy Forecast for New Zealand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 182.6
     2030: 211.7
     2060: 334.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 211.0
     2030: 241.0
     2060: 362.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 38.03
     2030: 42.11
     2060: 60.50
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.356
     2030: 0.351
     2060: 0.338
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 40.13
     2030: 36.20
     2060: 34.43
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 58.68
     2030: 59.53
     2060: 63.13

Energy Forecast for New Zealand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.010
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for New Zealand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.007
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.125
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.114

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 9.751
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 4.402
     2030: 4.425
     2060: 4.508
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 8.587
     2030: 8.644
     2060: 8.841