Country Profile - Nicaragua      IFs Version 7.89
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Nicaragua
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Nicaragua -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 6.932
     2030: 7.535
     2060: 9.141
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.269
     2030: 1.070
     2060: 0.238
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 18.90
     2030: 16.17
     2060: 11.46
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 3.986
     2030: 4.512
     2060: 8.184
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 12.60
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 7.259
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 78.93
     2030: 79.72
     2060: 82.72
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 75.87
     2030: 76.61
     2060: 79.47
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 81.91
     2030: 82.78
     2060: 85.91
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 2.265
     2030: 2.034
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.203
     2030: 0.269
     2060: 0.271
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 0.662
     2030: 0.619
     2060: 0.527
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 1.999
     2030: 1.924
     2060: 1.623
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 4.505
     2030: 5.006
     2060: 5.724
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.428
     2030: 0.604
     2060: 1.794
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 4.094
     2030: 4.535
     2060: 6.040
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.453
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.414
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 40.45
     2030: 42.10
     2060: 46.49

Health Forecast for Nicaragua -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 37.26
     2030: 38.77
     2060: 44.27
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 15.24
     2030: 15.11
     2060: 15.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 4.251
     2030: 3.344
     2060: 2.269
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.494
     2030: 0.067
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 15.81
     2030: 13.29
     2060: 6.445

Education Forecast for Nicaragua -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 102.9
     2030: 104.5
     2060: 101.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 92.45
     2030: 95.08
     2060: 98.63
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 83.12
     2030: 87.51
     2060: 91.39
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 59.28
     2030: 64.93
     2060: 71.33
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 27.07
     2030: 33.55
     2060: 44.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 6.905
     2030: 7.446
     2060: 9.284
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 84.82
     2030: 87.26
     2060: 98.00

Social/Human Forecast for Nicaragua
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 1.074
     2030: 0.969
     2060: 0.530
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 1.962
     2030: 1.851
     2060: 1.224
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.802
     2030: 0.818
     2060: 0.890
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 11.29
     2030: 9.118
     2060: 1.751
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,667
     2030: 2,737
     2060: 2,974
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.015
     2030: -0.015
     2060: -0.069
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.093
     2030: -0.083
     2060: -0.083

Economy Forecast for Nicaragua
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 36.11
     2030: 41.63
     2060: 71.90
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 14.01
     2030: 16.75
     2060: 35.34
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 5.209
     2030: 5.525
     2060: 7.866
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.456
     2030: 0.453
     2060: 0.436
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 46.82
     2030: 46.45
     2060: 45.72
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 15.90
     2030: 19.33
     2060: 25.49

Energy Forecast for Nicaragua
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Nicaragua
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Nicaragua
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.079
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.086

Domestic Government Forecast for Nicaragua
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 7.164
     2030: 7.427
     2060: 8.321
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 16.73
     2030: 17.50
     2060: 19.90
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 2.764
     2030: 2.996
     2060: 4.001
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 1.940
     2030: 2.055
     2060: 2.579
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.102
     2030: 7.146
     2060: 7.371