Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 28.12
     2030: 34.86
     2060: 80.16
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 3.717
     2030: 3.514
     2060: 2.027
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 44.78
     2030: 41.11
     2060: 23.92
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.659
     2030: 5.993
     2060: 3.665
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 43.72
     2030: 31.82
     2060: 8.086
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 65.64
     2030: 69.12
     2060: 76.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 64.26
     2030: 67.61
     2060: 75.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 67.08
     2030: 70.68
     2060: 78.27
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 6.578
     2030: 5.812
     2060: 3.003
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.136
     2030: 0.115
     2060: 0.029
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 5.394
     2030: 6.411
     2060: 9.414
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 13.50
     2030: 16.22
     2060: 27.26
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 13.89
     2030: 17.66
     2060: 49.42
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.740
     2030: 0.994
     2060: 3.476
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 4.810
     2030: 6.218
     2060: 20.35
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.375
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.392
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 42.88
     2030: 44.30
     2060: 48.12

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 4.568
     2030: 4.965
     2060: 6.825
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 8.689
     2030: 8.862
     2060: 10.09
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 30.55
     2030: 26.10
     2060: 8.286
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 31.59
     2030: 28.49
     2060: 19.63
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 12.75
     2030: 10.92
     2060: 4.846

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 84.55
     2030: 87.53
     2060: 101.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 67.87
     2030: 72.39
     2060: 89.33
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 38.71
     2030: 50.26
     2060: 76.31
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 13.97
     2030: 20.92
     2060: 45.94
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 5.084
     2030: 7.089
     2060: 16.95
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 1.954
     2030: 2.485
     2060: 5.801
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 39.11
     2030: 48.68
     2060: 89.56

Social/Human Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 12.82
     2030: 14.25
     2060: 5.575
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 21.78
     2030: 25.66
     2060: 21.01
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.500
     2030: 0.557
     2060: 0.787
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 44.10
     2030: 37.32
     2060: 8.947
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,644
     2030: 2,719
     2060: 3,004
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.373
     2030: -0.410
     2060: -0.543
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.939
     2030: -0.885
     2060: -0.603

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 37.55
     2030: 51.70
     2060: 297.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 16.65
     2030: 23.26
     2060: 161.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1.335
     2030: 1.483
     2060: 3.710
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.377
     2030: 0.377
     2060: 0.386
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 30.46
     2030: 32.26
     2060: 39.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 4.848
     2030: 5.789
     2060: 12.61

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.018
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.064
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.108

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.286
     2030: 8.912
     2060: 12.38
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 14.83
     2030: 14.97
     2060: 17.54
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.169
     2030: 3.227
     2060: 3.797
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.893
     2030: 1.961
     2060: 2.570
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.009
     2030: 6.080
     2060: 6.595