Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 27.12
     2030: 32.44
     2060: 65.59
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 3.056
     2030: 2.980
     2060: 1.569
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 37.58
     2030: 35.50
     2060: 19.84
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.078
     2030: 5.724
     2060: 4.162
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 38.47
     2030: 26.62
     2060: 4.802
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 65.18
     2030: 68.63
     2060: 76.43
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 63.91
     2030: 67.24
     2060: 74.87
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 66.50
     2030: 70.07
     2060: 78.04
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 6.528
     2030: 5.695
     2060: 2.695
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.138
     2030: 0.118
     2060: 0.030
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 4.391
     2030: 5.191
     2060: 6.521
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 12.50
     2030: 13.83
     2060: 19.73
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 13.88
     2030: 17.63
     2060: 42.54
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.739
     2030: 0.972
     2060: 3.319
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 4.783
     2030: 6.133
     2060: 18.88
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.380
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.394
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 43.14
     2030: 44.51
     2060: 48.19

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 4.880
     2030: 5.457
     2060: 8.844
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 8.714
     2030: 8.939
     2060: 11.32
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 27.05
     2030: 20.96
     2060: 5.240
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 28.16
     2030: 24.66
     2060: 12.99
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 10.58
     2030: 8.297
     2060: 1.611

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 85.75
     2030: 89.94
     2060: 103.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 68.78
     2030: 73.06
     2060: 94.48
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 41.56
     2030: 52.75
     2060: 85.37
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 15.46
     2030: 23.95
     2060: 54.12
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 5.506
     2030: 8.674
     2060: 21.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 2.229
     2030: 2.780
     2060: 6.182
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 39.87
     2030: 50.92
     2060: 90.71

Social/Human Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 10.59
     2030: 10.67
     2060: 0.336
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 19.61
     2030: 21.56
     2060: 2.781
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.505
     2030: 0.572
     2060: 0.832
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 43.29
     2030: 35.28
     2060: 7.349
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,739
     2030: 2,839
     2060: 3,287
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.373
     2030: -0.395
     2060: -0.382
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.919
     2030: -0.836
     2060: -0.305

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 39.11
     2030: 56.96
     2060: 526.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 17.77
     2030: 27.67
     2060: 399.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 1.442
     2030: 1.756
     2060: 8.025
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.368
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.379
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 32.32
     2030: 31.43
     2060: 36.52
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 5.208
     2030: 6.787
     2060: 18.16

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.018
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.028

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.067
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.152

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.388
     2030: 9.093
     2060: 12.96
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 14.79
     2030: 14.92
     2060: 18.23
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.197
     2030: 3.256
     2060: 4.366
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.811
     2030: 1.940
     2060: 2.979
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.062
     2030: 6.167
     2060: 7.004