Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.78
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 25.04
     2030: 34.44
     2060: 77.25
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 3.727
     2030: 3.442
     2060: 1.962
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 44.80
     2030: 39.84
     2060: 23.55
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.904
     2030: 5.475
     2060: 3.932
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 40.71
     2030: 23.97
     2060: 7.286
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 64.71
     2030: 69.60
     2060: 75.35
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 63.41
     2030: 68.17
     2060: 74.10
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 66.03
     2030: 71.06
     2060: 76.67
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 6.617
     2030: 5.488
     2060: 2.943
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.155
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 4.857
     2030: 6.187
     2060: 8.933
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 12.30
     2030: 15.86
     2060: 25.90
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 12.06
     2030: 17.57
     2060: 48.17
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.682
     2030: 1.008
     2060: 3.176
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 4.169
     2030: 6.026
     2060: 18.79
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.365
     2030: 0.373
     2060: 0.384
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 43.62
     2030: 45.58
     2060: 48.70

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 3.130
     2030: 3.682
     2060: 5.089
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 8.603
     2030: 8.918
     2060: 10.21
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 32.18
     2030: 23.04
     2060: 8.687
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 33.61
     2030: 29.72
     2060: 22.35
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 7.443
     2030: 5.994
     2060: 4.055

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 80.82
     2030: 86.81
     2060: 103.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 66.43
     2030: 71.93
     2060: 89.30
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 38.07
     2030: 49.07
     2060: 72.09
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 13.64
     2030: 21.76
     2060: 36.69
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 4.542
     2030: 7.976
     2060: 17.60
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 1.974
     2030: 2.782
     2060: 5.511
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 38.94
     2030: 54.57
     2060: 89.30

Social/Human Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 11.63
     2030: 9.640
     2060: 1.733
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 17.91
     2030: 17.81
     2060: 5.901
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.479
     2030: 0.573
     2060: 0.780
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 44.53
     2030: 33.29
     2060: 9.339
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,614
     2030: 2,744
     2060: 3,001
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.437
     2030: -0.483
     2060: -0.565
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.095
     2030: -0.983
     2060: -0.627

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 25.19
     2030: 45.55
     2060: 294.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 15.33
     2030: 26.93
     2060: 189.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 1.006
     2030: 1.323
     2060: 3.807
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.347
     2030: 0.364
     2060: 0.393
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 32.49
     2030: 35.38
     2060: 38.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 2.656
     2030: 4.964
     2060: 13.18

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.011
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.019

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.059
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.116

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 8.352
     2030: 9.318
     2060: 12.41
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 14.67
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 15.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.478
     2030: 2.517
     2060: 3.081
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.933
     2030: 2.067
     2060: 2.662
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 5.815
     2030: 5.957
     2060: 6.531