Country Profile - Niger      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Niger
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Niger -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 26.85
     2030: 34.32
     2060: 76.46
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 3.658
     2030: 3.439
     2060: 1.878
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 43.69
     2030: 39.87
     2060: 22.51
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 7.197
     2030: 5.510
     2060: 3.740
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 36.13
     2030: 24.65
     2060: 6.426
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 66.08
     2030: 69.66
     2060: 76.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 64.71
     2030: 68.17
     2060: 74.89
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 67.47
     2030: 71.18
     2060: 77.79
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 6.375
     2030: 5.489
     2060: 2.795
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.148
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 5.113
     2030: 6.158
     2060: 8.547
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 13.05
     2030: 15.80
     2060: 25.17
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 13.06
     2030: 17.51
     2060: 48.04
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.744
     2030: 1.009
     2060: 3.248
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 4.528
     2030: 6.025
     2060: 18.74
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.373
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.389
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 44.40
     2030: 45.84
     2060: 48.83

Health Forecast for Niger -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 3.223
     2030: 3.435
     2060: 4.766
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 8.661
     2030: 8.933
     2060: 10.52
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 28.52
     2030: 22.46
     2060: 7.933
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 30.53
     2030: 27.99
     2060: 18.23
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 5.892
     2030: 5.810
     2060: 3.381

Education Forecast for Niger -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 81.81
     2030: 85.93
     2060: 104.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 66.98
     2030: 70.64
     2060: 90.43
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 43.40
     2030: 50.66
     2060: 81.06
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 17.61
     2030: 24.31
     2060: 49.93
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 5.072
     2030: 7.774
     2060: 21.46
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 2.148
     2030: 2.793
     2060: 5.871
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 41.10
     2030: 54.48
     2060: 89.03

Social/Human Forecast for Niger
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 10.16
     2030: 9.713
     2060: 1.504
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 16.38
     2030: 16.95
     2060: 4.784
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.511
     2030: 0.585
     2060: 0.800
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 42.76
     2030: 33.26
     2060: 8.903
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,680
     2030: 2,732
     2060: 2,992
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.383
     2030: -0.421
     2060: -0.500
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.915
     2030: -0.846
     2060: -0.496

Economy Forecast for Niger
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 36.95
     2030: 56.02
     2060: 384.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 17.26
     2030: 26.80
     2060: 240.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 1.376
     2030: 1.633
     2060: 5.025
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.346
     2030: 0.364
     2060: 0.384
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 32.20
     2030: 31.32
     2060: 38.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 3.272
     2030: 4.723
     2060: 15.40

Energy Forecast for Niger
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.018
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Niger
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.002
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.026

International Politics Forecast for Niger
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.062
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.128

Domestic Government Forecast for Niger
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 8.531
     2030: 9.233
     2060: 12.61
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 14.71
     2030: 14.74
     2060: 17.53
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 3.263
     2030: 3.303
     2060: 3.995
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 1.860
     2030: 1.967
     2060: 2.726
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 5.979
     2030: 6.075
     2060: 6.702