Country Profile - Namibia      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Namibia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Namibia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.677
     2030: 2.962
     2060: 4.133
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.772
     2030: 1.603
     2060: 0.561
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 25.99
     2030: 23.59
     2060: 13.00
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 6.965
     2030: 6.548
     2060: 7.035
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 24.65
     2030: 21.59
     2060: 9.341
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 67.00
     2030: 68.95
     2060: 76.47
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 62.74
     2030: 64.50
     2060: 71.94
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 71.01
     2030: 73.17
     2060: 80.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 3.171
     2030: 2.918
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 7.366
     2030: 6.270
     2060: 1.598
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.336
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.271
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.956
     2030: 0.996
     2060: 0.877
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.607
     2030: 1.825
     2060: 2.806
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.114
     2030: 0.142
     2060: 0.451
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 1.489
     2030: 1.797
     2060: 3.138
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.370
     2030: 0.368
     2060: 0.348
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.36
     2030: 49.36
     2060: 49.36

Health Forecast for Namibia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 5.432
     2030: 5.989
     2060: 9.536
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 24.10
     2030: 24.25
     2060: 25.99
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 11.64
     2030: 9.948
     2060: 3.580
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 11.84
     2030: 11.31
     2060: 7.854
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 15.02
     2030: 12.00
     2060: 2.860

Education Forecast for Namibia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 115.9
     2030: 105.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 96.14
     2030: 99.51
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 115.2
     2030: 107.2
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 71.65
     2030: 78.07
     2060: 89.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 24.99
     2030: 28.77
     2060: 50.70
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 8.788
     2030: 9.204
     2060: 11.22
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 93.06
     2030: 94.85
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Namibia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.483
     2030: 0.602
     2060: 0.161
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 1.012
     2030: 1.232
     2060: 0.568
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.797
     2030: 0.818
     2060: 0.917
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 8.583
     2030: 7.218
     2060: 2.170
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,666
     2030: 2,765
     2060: 3,236
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.108
     2030: 0.113
     2060: 0.015
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.234
     2030: 0.265
     2060: 0.420

Economy Forecast for Namibia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 25.29
     2030: 30.24
     2060: 87.91
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 17.31
     2060: 71.25
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 9.448
     2030: 10.21
     2060: 21.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.585
     2030: 0.574
     2060: 0.537
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 43.30
     2030: 41.88
     2060: 15.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 22.39
     2030: 23.90
     2060: 41.80

Energy Forecast for Namibia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Namibia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Namibia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.069
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.095

Domestic Government Forecast for Namibia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 12.18
     2030: 12.49
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 16.51
     2030: 17.01
     2060: 19.88
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 5.188
     2030: 5.317
     2060: 6.843
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.614
     2030: 2.703
     2060: 3.359
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.795
     2030: 6.841
     2060: 7.234