Country Profile - Malaysia      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Malaysia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malaysia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 34.62
     2030: 36.43
     2060: 41.22
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.945
     2030: 0.755
     2060: 0.082
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 14.07
     2030: 12.94
     2060: 9.912
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 6.089
     2030: 6.686
     2060: 10.30
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 4.852
     2030: 4.311
     2060: 2.577
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 75.79
     2030: 76.83
     2060: 81.67
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 73.59
     2030: 74.61
     2060: 79.59
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 78.08
     2030: 79.13
     2060: 83.76
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.711
     2030: 1.700
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.240
     2030: 0.204
     2060: 0.052
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 2.511
     2030: 2.385
     2060: 2.082
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 7.716
     2030: 7.524
     2060: 6.489
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 24.09
     2030: 25.31
     2060: 25.53
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 2.809
     2030: 3.603
     2060: 9.205
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 27.55
     2030: 30.21
     2060: 36.21
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.500
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.450
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 39.89
     2030: 41.40
     2060: 46.17

Health Forecast for Malaysia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 11.45
     2030: 12.47
     2060: 17.08
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 23.37
     2030: 23.11
     2060: 20.92
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 13.32
     2030: 11.64
     2060: 6.528
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 13.04
     2030: 10.98
     2060: 6.111
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.447
     2030: 1.540
     2060: 0.040

Education Forecast for Malaysia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.6
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.65
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 90.20
     2030: 93.20
     2060: 99.62
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 76.25
     2030: 83.59
     2060: 97.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 46.38
     2030: 50.32
     2060: 66.51
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.63
     2030: 11.88
     2060: 13.01
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 95.69
     2030: 96.57
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Malaysia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.028
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.047
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.914
     2030: 0.929
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 5.800
     2030: 4.862
     2060: 2.362
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,935
     2030: 3,048
     2060: 3,472
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.014
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.144
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.843
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.752

Economy Forecast for Malaysia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 956.3
     2030: 1,140
     2060: 2,472
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 401.3
     2030: 527.1
     2060: 1,691
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 27.62
     2030: 31.28
     2060: 59.97
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.408
     2030: 0.401
     2060: 0.370
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 42.38
     2030: 39.04
     2060: 33.89
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 40.88
     2030: 45.49
     2060: 59.92

Energy Forecast for Malaysia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.167
     2030: 0.127
     2060: 0.010

Environment Forecast for Malaysia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.077
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.085

International Politics Forecast for Malaysia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.407
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.790

Domestic Government Forecast for Malaysia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.075
     2030: 8.206
     2060: 8.833
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 17.47
     2030: 18.13
     2060: 19.91
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 5.442
     2030: 6.009
     2060: 9.942
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.587
     2030: 3.694
     2060: 4.215
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.566
     2030: 7.647
     2060: 8.048