Country Profile - Malaysia      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Malaysia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malaysia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 34.53
     2030: 36.63
     2060: 42.97
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.021
     2030: 0.906
     2060: 0.254
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 14.61
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 11.23
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 5.887
     2030: 6.501
     2060: 9.867
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 5.544
     2030: 5.048
     2060: 3.313
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 76.28
     2030: 77.26
     2060: 81.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 73.83
     2030: 74.81
     2060: 79.61
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 78.83
     2030: 79.79
     2060: 84.14
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.805
     2030: 1.842
     2060: 1.862
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.239
     2030: 0.203
     2060: 0.052
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 2.413
     2030: 2.598
     2060: 2.411
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 7.594
     2030: 7.663
     2060: 7.254
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 24.10
     2030: 25.28
     2060: 26.37
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 2.843
     2030: 3.678
     2060: 9.351
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 27.60
     2030: 30.38
     2060: 37.60
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.499
     2030: 0.495
     2060: 0.451
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 40.17
     2030: 41.64
     2060: 46.28

Health Forecast for Malaysia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 11.40
     2030: 12.29
     2060: 16.33
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 23.32
     2030: 23.09
     2060: 20.96
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 12.85
     2030: 11.35
     2060: 6.500
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 12.35
     2030: 10.73
     2060: 7.278
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.991
     2030: 1.325
     2060: 0.058

Education Forecast for Malaysia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.0
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.84
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 93.07
     2030: 95.26
     2060: 99.52
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 81.74
     2030: 87.81
     2060: 97.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 46.16
     2030: 50.44
     2060: 67.99
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.01
     2030: 11.17
     2060: 12.36
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 95.70
     2030: 96.43
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Malaysia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.038
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.038
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.918
     2030: 0.931
     2060: 0.998
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 5.650
     2030: 4.844
     2060: 2.362
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,984
     2030: 3,082
     2060: 3,464
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.013
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.123
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.871
     2030: 0.872
     2060: 0.713

Economy Forecast for Malaysia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 971.9
     2030: 1,144
     2060: 2,282
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 403.8
     2030: 519.8
     2060: 1,550
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 28.14
     2030: 31.23
     2060: 53.10
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.413
     2030: 0.408
     2060: 0.363
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 40.49
     2030: 37.58
     2060: 35.01
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 32.70
     2030: 37.62
     2060: 56.73

Energy Forecast for Malaysia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.204
     2030: 0.206
     2060: 0.047

Environment Forecast for Malaysia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.078
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.066

International Politics Forecast for Malaysia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.409
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.721

Domestic Government Forecast for Malaysia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.043
     2030: 8.141
     2060: 8.715
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 17.53
     2030: 18.14
     2060: 19.75
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 5.521
     2030: 6.011
     2060: 9.095
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.539
     2030: 3.633
     2060: 4.081
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.542
     2030: 7.607
     2060: 7.930