Country Profile - Malaysia      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Malaysia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Malaysia -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 33.63
     2030: 36.38
     2060: 43.83
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.222
     2030: 0.996
     2060: 0.332
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 15.98
     2030: 14.76
     2060: 11.67
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 5.434
     2030: 6.127
     2060: 9.543
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 5.504
     2030: 5.076
     2060: 3.886
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 76.41
     2030: 77.44
     2060: 81.35
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 73.98
     2030: 74.99
     2060: 79.00
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 78.98
     2030: 79.98
     2060: 83.72
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.903
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.249
     2030: 0.207
     2060: 0.053
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 2.677
     2030: 2.701
     2060: 2.570
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 7.815
     2030: 8.108
     2060: 7.732
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 23.29
     2030: 24.80
     2060: 27.15
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 2.528
     2030: 3.470
     2060: 8.940
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 26.48
     2030: 29.77
     2060: 37.88
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.486
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 0.443
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 40.12
     2030: 41.78
     2060: 46.26

Health Forecast for Malaysia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 9.308
     2030: 10.09
     2060: 12.64
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 23.41
     2030: 23.16
     2060: 21.99
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 12.17
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 6.657
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 11.47
     2030: 10.12
     2060: 7.686
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.478
     2030: 1.692
     2060: 0.204

Education Forecast for Malaysia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 102.1
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 99.94
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 94.15
     2030: 95.69
     2060: 99.51
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 88.69
     2030: 92.57
     2060: 97.29
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 45.87
     2030: 50.25
     2060: 65.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 10.75
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 12.15
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 95.97
     2030: 96.82
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Malaysia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.048
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.048
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.920
     2030: 0.933
     2060: 0.980
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 5.576
     2030: 4.865
     2060: 2.407
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,933
     2030: 3,027
     2060: 3,294
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.007
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.102
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.870
     2030: 0.860
     2060: 0.636

Economy Forecast for Malaysia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 954.2
     2030: 1,119
     2060: 1,772
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 480.9
     2030: 615.4
     2060: 1,333
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 28.37
     2030: 30.77
     2060: 40.44
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.410
     2030: 0.410
     2060: 0.395
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 36.77
     2030: 35.28
     2060: 35.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 32.83
     2030: 36.89
     2060: 54.97

Energy Forecast for Malaysia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.235
     2030: 0.227
     2060: 0.079

Environment Forecast for Malaysia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.073
     2030: 0.083
     2060: 0.087

International Politics Forecast for Malaysia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.466
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.634

Domestic Government Forecast for Malaysia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 8.080
     2030: 8.194
     2060: 8.660
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 15.70
     2030: 16.58
     2060: 18.28
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 5.013
     2030: 5.505
     2060: 7.317
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 3.399
     2030: 3.492
     2060: 3.817
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.391
     2030: 7.443
     2060: 7.629