Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 31.79
     2030: 35.61
     2060: 57.40
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 2.352
     2030: 2.200
     2060: 0.954
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 30.15
     2030: 28.45
     2060: 16.27
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 6.585
     2030: 6.408
     2060: 6.698
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 37.36
     2030: 33.45
     2060: 13.90
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 66.60
     2030: 67.65
     2060: 73.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 65.37
     2030: 66.35
     2060: 71.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 67.84
     2030: 68.97
     2060: 74.99
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 3.700
     2030: 3.468
     2060: 2.058
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.165
     2030: 0.212
     2060: 0.499
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 4.392
     2030: 4.741
     2060: 4.736
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 12.05
     2030: 13.00
     2060: 14.64
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 18.59
     2030: 21.22
     2060: 38.52
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 1.144
     2030: 1.385
     2060: 4.238
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 13.36
     2030: 16.19
     2060: 35.31
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.509
     2030: 0.507
     2060: 0.491
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 48.70
     2030: 48.70
     2060: 48.70

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 5.043
     2030: 5.590
     2060: 10.46
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 12.44
     2030: 12.58
     2060: 13.14
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 21.82
     2030: 19.81
     2060: 6.951
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 21.01
     2030: 18.65
     2060: 6.736
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 42.59
     2030: 36.90
     2060: 9.544

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 142.7
     2030: 136.6
     2060: 120.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 79.11
     2030: 81.68
     2060: 91.09
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 50.91
     2030: 55.52
     2060: 74.29
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 25.69
     2030: 30.10
     2060: 47.09
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 6.402
     2030: 7.789
     2060: 16.88
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 4.632
     2030: 4.887
     2060: 6.757
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 79.42
     2030: 81.96
     2060: 93.41

Social/Human Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 25.02
     2030: 26.96
     2060: 22.54
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 29.57
     2030: 32.60
     2060: 37.54
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.648
     2030: 0.667
     2060: 0.781
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 24.13
     2030: 22.13
     2060: 9.383
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 1,890
     2030: 1,972
     2060: 2,505
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.336
     2030: -0.363
     2060: -0.514
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.843
     2030: -0.810
     2060: -0.613

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 49.24
     2030: 59.31
     2060: 212.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 16.42
     2030: 20.20
     2060: 94.55
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 1.549
     2030: 1.665
     2060: 3.700
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.425
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.432
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 39.83
     2030: 40.22
     2060: 36.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 5.285
     2030: 5.918
     2060: 11.96

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.007
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.019

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.012

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.043
     2030: 0.052
     2060: 0.086

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 9.219
     2030: 9.506
     2060: 11.47
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 16.16
     2030: 16.56
     2060: 18.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 2.579
     2030: 2.681
     2060: 3.427
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.532
     2030: 1.609
     2060: 2.287
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.380
     2030: 6.425
     2060: 6.885