Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 30.30
     2030: 34.06
     2060: 52.31
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.966
     2030: 1.943
     2060: 0.793
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 27.52
     2030: 27.31
     2060: 15.74
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.814
     2030: 7.836
     2060: 7.779
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 50.63
     2030: 46.40
     2060: 17.80
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 63.32
     2030: 64.21
     2060: 70.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 62.08
     2030: 62.90
     2060: 68.89
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 64.57
     2030: 65.54
     2060: 72.66
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 3.818
     2030: 3.606
     2060: 2.106
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.168
     2030: 0.223
     2060: 0.502
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 3.695
     2030: 4.211
     2060: 4.159
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 11.22
     2030: 11.64
     2060: 13.00
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 18.02
     2030: 21.12
     2060: 35.54
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 1.061
     2030: 1.295
     2060: 3.774
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 12.65
     2030: 15.87
     2060: 33.92
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.512
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.494
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.72
     2030: 48.72
     2060: 48.72

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 4.934
     2030: 5.546
     2060: 10.65
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 12.42
     2030: 12.55
     2060: 13.24
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 23.64
     2030: 21.13
     2060: 6.765
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 22.83
     2030: 19.92
     2060: 6.332
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 41.90
     2030: 35.24
     2060: 7.248

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 142.5
     2030: 141.3
     2060: 115.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 78.29
     2030: 82.39
     2060: 93.80
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 54.01
     2030: 60.65
     2060: 80.57
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 25.32
     2030: 31.38
     2060: 55.18
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 5.192
     2030: 6.818
     2060: 23.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 4.924
     2030: 4.999
     2060: 6.655
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 78.32
     2030: 80.63
     2060: 94.80

Social/Human Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 24.34
     2030: 27.44
     2060: 21.04
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 27.69
     2030: 31.17
     2060: 31.78
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.628
     2030: 0.645
     2060: 0.778
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 25.59
     2030: 23.42
     2060: 8.964
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 1,922
     2030: 2,016
     2060: 2,576
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.324
     2030: -0.361
     2060: -0.506
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.806
     2030: -0.778
     2060: -0.585

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 48.42
     2030: 58.55
     2060: 220.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 15.66
     2030: 19.49
     2060: 101.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 1.598
     2030: 1.719
     2060: 4.208
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.427
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.421
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 38.35
     2030: 37.37
     2060: 34.76
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 4.382
     2030: 5.359
     2060: 15.58

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.008
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.026

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.013

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.042
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.087

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 10.03
     2030: 10.23
     2060: 12.35
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 16.04
     2030: 16.39
     2060: 18.60
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 2.441
     2030: 2.565
     2060: 3.403
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.406
     2030: 1.498
     2060: 2.282
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.334
     2030: 6.389
     2060: 6.897