Country Profile - Latvia      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Latvia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Latvia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 1.809
     2030: 1.698
     2060: 1.302
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -1.097
     2030: -0.983
     2060: -0.944
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.992
     2030: 7.725
     2060: 7.673
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 15.61
     2030: 15.86
     2060: 16.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.245
     2030: 2.996
     2060: 2.097
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 76.63
     2030: 77.56
     2060: 82.29
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 72.14
     2030: 73.07
     2060: 77.99
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 80.54
     2030: 81.52
     2060: 86.26
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.505
     2030: 1.566
     2060: 1.611
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.498
     2030: 0.521
     2060: 0.539
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.081
     2030: 0.067
     2060: 0.051
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.271
     2030: 0.233
     2060: 0.169
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.121
     2030: 1.035
     2060: 0.712
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.418
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.421
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 1.291
     2030: 1.264
     2060: 1.029
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.512
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.459
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.72
     2030: 49.72
     2060: 49.72

Health Forecast for Latvia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 18.77
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 23.49
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 36.37
     2030: 36.22
     2060: 33.36
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.916
     2030: 1.771
     2060: 1.487
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.850
     2030: 1.230
     2060: 0.977
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.039

Education Forecast for Latvia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 101.2
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 98.98
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 101.0
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 108.5
     2030: 106.6
     2060: 102.3
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 83.32
     2030: 83.13
     2060: 86.06
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.22
     2030: 12.39
     2060: 13.22
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Latvia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.012
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.941
     2030: 0.953
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.389
     2030: 1.275
     2060: 0.943
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,340
     2030: 3,432
     2060: 3,683
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.057
     2030: 1.120
     2060: 1.301
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.861
     2030: -0.754
     2060: -0.067

Economy Forecast for Latvia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 57.75
     2030: 61.05
     2060: 82.57
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 34.40
     2030: 39.51
     2060: 64.79
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 31.92
     2030: 35.95
     2060: 63.43
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.357
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.360
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 39.39
     2030: 39.86
     2060: 41.66
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 44.80
     2030: 48.56
     2060: 58.31

Energy Forecast for Latvia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Latvia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Latvia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.106
     2030: 0.105
     2060: 0.107

Domestic Government Forecast for Latvia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 13.06
     2030: 13.17
     2060: 13.80
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.22
     2030: 18.24
     2060: 19.22
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.097
     2030: 6.645
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.419
     2030: 3.520
     2060: 4.037
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.990
     2030: 8.056
     2060: 8.388