Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.673
     2030: 2.515
     2060: 1.900
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -1.066
     2030: -0.932
     2060: -1.086
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.948
     2030: 7.514
     2060: 7.184
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 15.04
     2030: 15.16
     2060: 17.06
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.028
     2030: 2.763
     2060: 1.821
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 76.98
     2030: 77.98
     2060: 83.15
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 72.14
     2030: 73.15
     2060: 78.54
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 81.27
     2030: 82.31
     2060: 87.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.433
     2030: 1.504
     2060: 1.570
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.094
     2030: 0.084
     2060: 0.028
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.116
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.071
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.392
     2030: 0.338
     2060: 0.233
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.679
     2030: 1.530
     2060: 1.018
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.602
     2030: 0.647
     2060: 0.649
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 1.893
     2030: 1.856
     2060: 1.491
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.515
     2030: 0.497
     2060: 0.449
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.38
     2030: 49.38
     2060: 49.38

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 21.93
     2030: 23.29
     2060: 27.65
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 30.46
     2030: 30.12
     2060: 28.14
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 2.479
     2030: 2.289
     2060: 1.839
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.440
     2030: 2.136
     2060: 2.071
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.044

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.0
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.99
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 106.1
     2030: 104.3
     2060: 100.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 112.9
     2030: 110.9
     2060: 102.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 73.28
     2030: 75.15
     2060: 85.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.68
     2030: 12.90
     2060: 13.63
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.011
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.955
     2030: 0.968
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.716
     2030: 1.521
     2060: 0.994
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,376
     2030: 3,467
     2060: 3,734
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.861
     2030: 0.929
     2060: 1.142
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.967
     2030: -0.880
     2060: -0.270

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 106.5
     2030: 115.0
     2060: 177.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 57.64
     2030: 68.64
     2060: 125.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 39.84
     2030: 45.71
     2060: 93.15
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.357
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.357
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 36.62
     2030: 36.63
     2060: 45.86
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 63.55
     2030: 64.47
     2060: 72.28

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.131
     2030: 0.130
     2060: 0.138

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 13.10
     2030: 13.23
     2060: 13.84
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.97
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.473
     2030: 7.290
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.583
     2030: 3.692
     2060: 4.264
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.252
     2030: 8.327
     2060: 8.725