Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.58
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 2.735
     2030: 2.539
     2060: 2.032
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: -0.906
     2030: -0.850
     2060: -0.776
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 9.726
     2030: 8.316
     2060: 8.504
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 14.62
     2030: 14.75
     2060: 15.51
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 3.794
     2030: 3.211
     2060: 1.950
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 76.29
     2030: 77.97
     2060: 83.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 70.55
     2030: 72.27
     2060: 78.46
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 81.21
     2030: 82.87
     2060: 88.21
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.622
     2030: 1.643
     2060: 1.735
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.074
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.140
     2030: 0.113
     2060: 0.090
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.415
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.288
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.753
     2030: 1.519
     2060: 1.096
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.566
     2030: 0.641
     2060: 0.648
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.932
     2030: 1.865
     2060: 1.559
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.489
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.427
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 50.46
     2030: 50.46
     2060: 50.46

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 22.24
     2030: 23.91
     2060: 25.71
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 30.48
     2030: 29.82
     2060: 27.50
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.149
     2030: 1.980
     2060: 1.743
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.175
     2030: 2.088
     2060: 3.321
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.921
     2030: 1.447
     2060: 0.928

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.2
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 99.99
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 103.8
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 99.94
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 113.1
     2030: 109.4
     2060: 101.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 73.03
     2030: 77.64
     2060: 86.33
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 12.04
     2030: 12.50
     2060: 13.89
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.012
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.937
     2030: 0.961
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.795
     2030: 1.556
     2060: 0.913
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,455
     2030: 3,567
     2060: 3,679
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.892
     2030: 0.977
     2060: 1.158
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.937
     2030: -0.803
     2060: -0.097

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 84.05
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 185.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 58.07
     2030: 78.60
     2060: 157.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 30.74
     2030: 39.68
     2060: 91.09
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.368
     2030: 0.363
     2060: 0.358
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 33.61
     2030: 34.97
     2060: 31.32
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 60.08
     2030: 66.50
     2060: 76.79

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.051
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.065

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.95
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 5.392
     2030: 6.656
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 3.761
     2030: 3.913
     2060: 4.384
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.952
     2030: 8.080
     2060: 8.475