Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 7.79
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 2.625
     2030: 2.440
     2060: 1.922
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: -1.106
     2030: -0.827
     2060: -0.863
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 9.791
     2030: 8.591
     2060: 8.604
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 14.41
     2030: 15.00
     2060: 16.16
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 3.547
     2030: 3.143
     2060: 1.949
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 76.50
     2030: 77.84
     2060: 83.41
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 70.79
     2030: 72.14
     2060: 78.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 81.37
     2030: 82.73
     2060: 88.00
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.644
     2030: 1.668
     2060: 1.749
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.093
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.026
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.132
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.086
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 0.382
     2030: 0.359
     2060: 0.269
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.698
     2030: 1.471
     2060: 1.035
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.545
     2030: 0.609
     2060: 0.619
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 1.889
     2030: 1.835
     2060: 1.514
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.504
     2030: 0.479
     2060: 0.438
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 50.40
     2030: 50.40
     2060: 50.40

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 22.40
     2030: 23.79
     2060: 26.65
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 30.31
     2030: 29.61
     2060: 27.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.873
     2030: 1.735
     2060: 1.486
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.737
     2030: 1.872
     2060: 2.694
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.980
     2030: 1.566
     2060: 0.912

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 101.5
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 99.98
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 105.4
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 99.99
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 112.9
     2030: 109.3
     2060: 101.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 75.39
     2030: 79.18
     2060: 87.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 12.20
     2030: 12.58
     2060: 13.94
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.945
     2030: 0.962
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 1.674
     2030: 1.427
     2060: 0.884
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,517
     2030: 3,610
     2060: 3,789
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.877
     2030: 0.955
     2060: 1.144
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.950
     2030: -0.842
     2060: -0.168

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 90.51
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 172.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 61.91
     2030: 76.81
     2060: 144.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 34.48
     2030: 41.19
     2060: 89.96
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.366
     2030: 0.361
     2060: 0.352
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 35.00
     2030: 35.28
     2060: 28.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 63.50
     2030: 67.69
     2060: 77.75

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.004
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.135
     2030: 0.137
     2060: 0.148

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.95
     2030: 19.96
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 5.520
     2030: 6.528
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 3.687
     2030: 3.805
     2060: 4.305
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.947
     2030: 8.034
     2060: 8.410