Country Profile - Lithuania      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Lithuania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Lithuania -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 2.685
     2030: 2.510
     2060: 1.982
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: -1.076
     2030: -0.866
     2060: -0.839
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 9.281
     2030: 8.517
     2060: 8.497
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 15.75
     2030: 15.50
     2060: 15.88
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 3.749
     2030: 3.323
     2060: 1.928
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 76.00
     2030: 77.31
     2060: 83.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 70.33
     2030: 71.66
     2060: 78.44
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 80.98
     2030: 82.28
     2060: 88.16
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.561
     2030: 1.645
     2060: 1.732
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.093
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.027
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 0.129
     2030: 0.114
     2060: 0.087
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 0.404
     2030: 0.366
     2060: 0.276
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.692
     2030: 1.507
     2060: 1.064
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.589
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.642
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 1.884
     2030: 1.842
     2060: 1.535
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.507
     2030: 0.487
     2060: 0.447
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 49.81
     2030: 49.81
     2060: 49.81

Health Forecast for Lithuania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 21.82
     2030: 23.27
     2060: 27.41
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 30.44
     2030: 29.94
     2060: 28.02
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 2.484
     2030: 2.244
     2060: 1.815
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.418
     2030: 2.178
     2060: 3.036
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 0.106
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.008

Education Forecast for Lithuania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 102.6
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 99.99
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 105.6
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 112.6
     2030: 111.7
     2060: 101.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 73.20
     2030: 76.06
     2060: 88.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 12.27
     2030: 12.56
     2060: 13.93
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Lithuania
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.008
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.012
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.948
     2030: 0.965
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 1.771
     2030: 1.473
     2060: 0.950
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,473
     2030: 3,573
     2060: 3,832
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.862
     2030: 0.939
     2060: 1.162
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.969
     2030: -0.868
     2060: -0.180

Economy Forecast for Lithuania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2023: 103.9
     2030: 116.2
     2060: 224.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2023: 55.94
     2030: 70.01
     2060: 160.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 38.71
     2030: 46.28
     2060: 113.5
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.349
     2030: 0.348
     2060: 0.327
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 34.34
     2030: 33.75
     2060: 40.41
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 58.64
     2030: 61.87
     2060: 75.98

Energy Forecast for Lithuania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Lithuania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.004
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Lithuania
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.135
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.161

Domestic Government Forecast for Lithuania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 19.97
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 6.369
     2030: 7.403
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 3.595
     2030: 3.732
     2060: 4.406
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 8.240
     2030: 8.339
     2060: 8.839