Country Profile - Sri Lanka      IFs Version 7.78
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     Forecast Categories for Sri Lanka
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 21.58
     2030: 22.14
     2060: 21.07
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.398
     2030: 0.077
     2060: -0.492
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 15.16
     2030: 12.83
     2060: 10.61
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 6.575
     2030: 8.203
     2060: 11.79
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 6.980
     2030: 5.904
     2060: 3.265
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 77.50
     2030: 78.38
     2060: 81.56
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.67
     2030: 74.41
     2060: 77.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 81.06
     2030: 82.07
     2060: 85.02
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 2.137
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.017
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.020
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.700
     2030: 1.439
     2060: 1.145
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 5.156
     2030: 4.651
     2060: 3.609
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 14.04
     2030: 14.20
     2060: 12.78
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 2.381
     2030: 3.290
     2060: 4.690
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 4.173
     2030: 4.694
     2060: 6.280
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.415
     2030: 0.406
     2060: 0.392
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 35.60
     2030: 37.92
     2060: 43.26

Health Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 0.283
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 1.641
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 14.23
     2030: 15.09
     2060: 18.77
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 17.51
     2030: 14.83
     2060: 8.004
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 18.55
     2030: 17.01
     2060: 14.00
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 6.612
     2030: 4.800
     2060: 1.979

Education Forecast for Sri Lanka -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 100.7
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 98.40
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 99.11
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 99.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 94.97
     2030: 93.74
     2060: 96.95
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 19.13
     2030: 21.34
     2060: 39.24
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 9.565
     2030: 10.26
     2060: 12.46
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 92.63
     2030: 94.00
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Sri Lanka
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.482
     2030: 0.204
     2060: 0.003
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 1.951
     2030: 1.060
     2060: 0.044
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.865
     2030: 0.884
     2060: 0.955
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 8.980
     2030: 7.628
     2060: 3.850
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,672
     2030: 2,820
     2060: 3,242
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.180
     2030: 0.242
     2060: 0.411
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.391
     2030: 0.455
     2060: 0.684

Economy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 250.8
     2030: 303.1
     2060: 530.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 92.77
     2030: 124.3
     2060: 340.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 11.62
     2030: 13.69
     2060: 25.16
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.389
     2030: 0.378
     2060: 0.344
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 35.29
     2030: 19.82
     2060: 23.31
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 16.61
     2060: 34.00

Energy Forecast for Sri Lanka
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Sri Lanka
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.006
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Sri Lanka
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.138
     2030: 0.130
     2060: 0.157

Domestic Government Forecast for Sri Lanka
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 9.083
     2030: 9.454
     2060: 10.72
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 16.06
     2030: 16.18
     2060: 17.10
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.295
     2030: 3.647
     2060: 5.299
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.322
     2030: 2.507
     2060: 3.162
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.549
     2030: 6.653
     2060: 6.981