Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 0.186
     2030: 0.192
     2060: 0.184
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.472
     2030: 0.285
     2060: -0.501
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 12.10
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 8.652
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 7.323
     2030: 8.116
     2060: 13.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 11.18
     2030: 8.202
     2060: 3.483
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 76.67
     2030: 77.76
     2060: 80.95
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 73.33
     2030: 74.25
     2060: 77.19
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 79.88
     2030: 81.11
     2060: 84.43
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.460
     2030: 1.511
     2060: 1.647
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.011
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 0.033
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.025
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.133
     2030: 0.133
     2060: 0.109
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.019
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.050
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 0.035
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.043
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.544
     2030: 0.532
     2060: 0.464
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 46.52
     2030: 47.92
     2060: 49.70

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 32.68
     2030: 35.35
     2060: 42.88
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 19.83
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 20.55
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 2.708
     2030: 2.505
     2060: 2.098
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.579
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 13.74
     2030: 9.105
     2060: 3.814

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 103.5
     2030: 103.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 94.08
     2030: 98.18
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 92.50
     2030: 97.69
     2060: 98.75
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 88.66
     2030: 92.84
     2060: 96.71
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 24.55
     2030: 34.40
     2060: 49.49
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 11.20
     2030: 11.66
     2060: 12.82
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 95.55
     2030: 96.71
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.021
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.871
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.935
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 3.354
     2030: 2.562
     2060: 1.164
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,722
     2030: 2,854
     2060: 3,190
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.195
     2030: 0.242
     2060: 0.352
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.420
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.602

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2.187
     2030: 2.653
     2060: 3.451
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 1.605
     2030: 2.039
     2060: 2.942
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 11.77
     2030: 13.83
     2060: 18.74
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.502
     2030: 0.497
     2060: 0.469
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 50.86
     2030: 30.25
     2060: 26.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 12.27
     2030: 18.30
     2060: 34.01

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.041
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.081

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 16.22
     2030: 17.43
     2060: 18.67
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 6.821
     2030: 7.009
     2060: 7.031
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.538
     2030: 2.727
     2060: 3.153
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 6.891
     2030: 6.990
     2060: 7.160