Country Profile - St. Lucia      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for St. Lucia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for St. Lucia -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 0.184
     2030: 0.190
     2060: 0.181
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.439
     2030: 0.213
     2060: -0.491
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.43
     2030: 10.84
     2060: 8.911
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.434
     2030: 8.432
     2060: 13.88
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 11.79
     2030: 8.676
     2060: 4.043
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 76.75
     2030: 77.83
     2060: 80.71
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.38
     2030: 74.26
     2060: 76.86
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 80.00
     2030: 81.23
     2060: 84.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.525
     2030: 1.570
     2060: 1.688
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.011
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.033
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.025
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.132
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.106
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.020
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.050
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 0.034
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.041
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.535
     2030: 0.519
     2060: 0.455
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 46.35
     2030: 47.86
     2060: 49.64

Health Forecast for St. Lucia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 38.54
     2030: 41.40
     2060: 47.86
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 19.87
     2030: 19.80
     2060: 19.89
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.708
     2030: 2.528
     2060: 2.260
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.457
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 13.56
     2030: 9.822
     2060: 4.866

Education Forecast for St. Lucia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.8
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 97.84
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 94.63
     2030: 96.69
     2060: 97.19
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 85.21
     2030: 86.71
     2060: 90.33
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 20.00
     2030: 26.23
     2060: 37.29
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.04
     2030: 11.50
     2060: 12.51
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 95.15
     2030: 96.49
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for St. Lucia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.004
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.017
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.011
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.866
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.922
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 3.617
     2030: 2.712
     2060: 1.237
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,661
     2030: 2,783
     2060: 3,035
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.192
     2030: 0.238
     2060: 0.324
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.402
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.545

Economy Forecast for St. Lucia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 2.036
     2030: 2.421
     2060: 2.755
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 1.531
     2030: 1.864
     2060: 2.213
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 11.04
     2030: 12.72
     2060: 15.19
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.500
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.471
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 49.03
     2030: 35.82
     2060: 25.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 11.80
     2030: 15.37
     2060: 25.44

Energy Forecast for St. Lucia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for St. Lucia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for St. Lucia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for St. Lucia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 16.26
     2030: 17.51
     2060: 18.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 6.643
     2030: 6.910
     2060: 6.592
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.426
     2030: 2.641
     2060: 2.998
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.772
     2030: 6.947
     2060: 7.048