Country Profile - Kazakhstan      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Kazakhstan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 20.05
     2030: 21.41
     2060: 26.70
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.285
     2030: 0.947
     2060: 0.349
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 20.52
     2030: 17.74
     2060: 12.59
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.948
     2030: 8.270
     2060: 9.106
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 9.322
     2030: 8.666
     2060: 6.374
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 72.47
     2030: 73.30
     2060: 77.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 68.11
     2030: 68.87
     2060: 73.11
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 76.53
     2030: 77.46
     2060: 81.82
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 3.155
     2030: 2.792
     2060: 1.804
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.178
     2030: 0.237
     2060: 0.508
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 2.081
     2030: 1.923
     2060: 1.750
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 5.920
     2030: 5.989
     2060: 5.669
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 12.33
     2030: 13.17
     2060: 17.03
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 1.803
     2030: 2.261
     2060: 3.996
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 11.48
     2030: 12.47
     2060: 16.89
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.477
     2030: 0.469
     2060: 0.450
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.09
     2030: 49.09
     2060: 49.09

Health Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 14.38
     2030: 15.29
     2060: 17.47
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 26.91
     2030: 27.27
     2060: 26.27
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.959
     2030: 1.869
     2060: 1.690
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.307
     2030: 0.172
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.038
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.074

Education Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 105.2
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 92.16
     2030: 95.14
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 95.42
     2030: 97.24
     2060: 99.72
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 96.94
     2030: 98.86
     2060: 99.96
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 57.65
     2030: 61.69
     2060: 76.37
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.36
     2030: 11.50
     2060: 12.06
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Kazakhstan
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.015
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.059
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.907
     2030: 0.917
     2060: 0.965
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 2.608
     2030: 2.426
     2060: 1.782
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,457
     2030: 3,537
     2060: 3,715
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.354
     2030: 0.394
     2060: 0.377
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.830
     2030: 0.833
     2060: 0.621

Economy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 522.6
     2030: 617.0
     2060: 1,203
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 206.4
     2030: 265.1
     2060: 804.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 26.06
     2030: 28.81
     2060: 45.06
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.280
     2030: 0.285
     2060: 0.275
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 34.01
     2030: 30.66
     2060: 25.71
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 44.39
     2030: 45.31
     2060: 52.06

Energy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.601
     2030: 0.605
     2060: 0.205

Environment Forecast for Kazakhstan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.061
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.044

International Politics Forecast for Kazakhstan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.199
     2030: 0.195
     2060: 0.247

Domestic Government Forecast for Kazakhstan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 3.999
     2030: 4.008
     2060: 4.193
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 4.445
     2030: 4.852
     2060: 7.835
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.033
     2030: 4.454
     2060: 7.083
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.664
     2030: 2.785
     2060: 3.419
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.542
     2030: 7.614
     2060: 7.994