Country Profile - Kazakhstan      IFs Version 7.89
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Kazakhstan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 19.50
     2030: 20.69
     2060: 24.08
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.066
     2030: 0.679
     2060: 0.228
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 18.30
     2030: 15.03
     2060: 12.28
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 7.917
     2030: 8.247
     2060: 9.989
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 10.87
     2030: 10.05
     2060: 7.257
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 72.37
     2030: 73.35
     2060: 77.82
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 67.67
     2030: 68.57
     2060: 73.07
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 76.80
     2030: 77.87
     2060: 82.32
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 2.603
     2030: 2.366
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.201
     2030: 0.267
     2060: 0.513
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.936
     2030: 1.589
     2060: 1.501
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 5.703
     2030: 5.428
     2060: 4.725
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 12.21
     2030: 13.11
     2060: 15.13
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 1.589
     2030: 2.160
     2060: 4.221
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 11.29
     2030: 12.34
     2060: 15.87
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.494
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.452
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 49.30
     2030: 49.79
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 14.75
     2030: 15.82
     2060: 18.98
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 27.16
     2030: 27.70
     2060: 27.91
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 1.952
     2030: 1.935
     2060: 1.670
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.524
     2030: 2.954
     2060: 2.542
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.453
     2030: 1.569
     2060: 0.300

Education Forecast for Kazakhstan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 100.1
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 90.76
     2030: 94.50
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 107.4
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 113.9
     2030: 105.4
     2060: 100.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 53.44
     2030: 58.91
     2060: 75.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 11.71
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 12.78
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Kazakhstan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.018
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.018
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.903
     2030: 0.914
     2060: 0.963
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 2.706
     2030: 2.561
     2060: 1.897
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,161
     2030: 3,249
     2060: 3,486
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.342
     2030: 0.374
     2060: 0.336
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.794
     2030: 0.788
     2060: 0.570

Economy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 478.7
     2030: 566.3
     2060: 1,011
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 279.7
     2030: 359.7
     2060: 841.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 24.55
     2030: 27.36
     2060: 42.00
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.274
     2030: 0.281
     2060: 0.264
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 33.01
     2030: 31.65
     2060: 33.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 42.33
     2030: 43.16
     2060: 58.60

Energy Forecast for Kazakhstan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.643
     2030: 0.751
     2060: 1.215

Environment Forecast for Kazakhstan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.070
     2030: 0.074
     2060: 0.097

International Politics Forecast for Kazakhstan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.227
     2030: 0.242
     2060: 0.305

Domestic Government Forecast for Kazakhstan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 4.040
     2030: 4.035
     2060: 4.271
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 4.820
     2030: 5.392
     2060: 8.509
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 3.471
     2030: 3.991
     2060: 6.617
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 2.585
     2030: 2.696
     2060: 3.201
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.305
     2030: 7.358
     2060: 7.597